NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	2.7 [747]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +9.6%
Toronto Raptors	81		Comeback	1.3 [471]		LVP	Kevin Willis (TOR): -8.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	15	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	73%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	59%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Roshown McLeod	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Sheppard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	12	48%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	64%	0.03	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	6	25%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	8	31%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	5	80%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	48%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	17	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.0	26.0	15.4	25.1	1.5	23.6	115.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +34.5%

ATL +4.5%

ATL +8.6%

ATL +2.6%

TOR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	17.7	15.6	15.8	119.8	93.1	99.6
season	16.7	15.6		97.2	99.0
opponent	15.9	16.3		101.2	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.8	16.9	17.7	19.3	17.7
TOR	15.2	19.1	15.8	12.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	52	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.26	24	-2	26	17.1	18.6	-1.42	16.6	14.0	2.59
Grant Long	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	3	16	18.5	15.4	3.15	15.7	15.3	0.44
Chris Crawford	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	6	10	16.8	19.5	-2.67	16.9	12.8	4.16
Anthony Johnson	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	13	-4	17.7	17.7	0.03	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Dikembe Mutombo	60	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	10	2	18.8	15.1	3.70	16.0	14.7	1.31
Mark West	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	12	-2	15.1	18.8	-3.70	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Tyrone Corbin	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	16	-10	20.2	16.2	4.06	15.8	15.5	0.27
Steven Smith	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	11	0	18.7	15.6	3.05	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Roshown McLeod	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	16.0	18.1	-2.12	12.9	16.3	-3.36
Ed Gray	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	13.5	18.5	-4.99	11.0	16.4	-5.42
Jeff Sheppard	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	12.8	18.1	-5.23	11.0	16.0	-5.01

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	11.0	16.0	-5.01	12.8	18.1	-5.23
Reggie Slater	27	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-23	24	12.4	17.0	-4.64	19.7	16.8	2.91
Michael Stewart	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-21	20	13.7	16.6	-2.91	17.5	17.8	-0.30
Alvin Williams	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-16	10	14.7	16.3	-1.53	17.0	18.2	-1.27
John Thomas	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-10	-2	16.5	15.3	1.25	18.3	17.5	0.83
Kevin Willis	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-12	2	16.8	14.5	2.34	17.8	17.6	0.15
Tracy McGrady	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-14	6	15.1	16.1	-1.00	17.3	18.2	-0.94
John Wallace	27	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-17	12	13.8	16.4	-2.66	17.1	17.9	-0.85
Vince Carter	50	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-11	0	16.0	15.0	1.01	18.6	16.6	2.05
Charles Oakley	41	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	-6	-10	17.3	14.1	3.28	16.9	18.4	-1.57
Dee Brown	50	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-6	-10	16.3	14.7	1.53	18.2	17.0	1.27
Doug Christie	57	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	2	-26	17.1	12.8	4.24	17.5	18.0	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	96.8%
MIA 91, SAC 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ORL 124, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%