inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement3.3 [1096] MVPDan Majerle (MIA): +5.2%
Sacramento Kings 77 Comeback1.4 [820] LVPCorliss Williamson (SAC): -12.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.00-0.051663%0.076-0.05989%0.01
Voshon Lenard0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.01-0.00-0.03944%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Rex Walters0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marty Conlon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.000,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.012146%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Eric Murdock-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02650%0.022-0.032100%0.01
Duane Causwell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02125%-0.011-0.02250%-0.00
P.J. Brown-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031450%0.024-0.064100%0.02
Keith Askins-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.06617%-0.043-0.0200%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Billy Owens0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00569%0.041-0.02650%-0.01
Chris Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.08-0.00-0.071852%0.065-0.066100%0.01
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%-0.0100.004100%0.01
Terry Dehere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01955%0.022-0.04450%-0.00
Olden Polynice0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04617%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.00-0.03450%-0.014-0.05250%0.00
Mark Hendrickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00133%-0.031-0.03450%-0.02
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.13-0.01-0.07543%-0.015-0.05425%-0.02
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0100%-0.032-0.0420%-0.03
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.001040%-0.024-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.329.415.826.52.524.5124.1
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +5.4%
MIA +9.6%
MIA +11.8%
MIA +22.5%
MIA +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game17.213.415.695.882.8102.5
season15.815.2104.798.5
opponent15.316.2104.399.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.416.419.417.517.2
SAC16.612.411.913.113.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning67670.58-0.080.65-0.2127-134016.119.8-3.7514.89.84.96
P.J. Brown81780.440.060.39-0.1119-52417.714.13.6413.612.31.29
Dan Majerle58570.420.080.35-0.1319-52416.318.5-2.2313.513.30.19
Tim Hardaway59590.350.150.20-0.1818-42216.218.8-2.6614.311.92.47
Eric Murdock64620.340.160.170.1668-217.316.90.3612.615.0-2.42
Keith Askins63620.280.220.060.22212-1017.217.10.1313.513.40.10
Voshon Lenard41390.160.34-0.170.05410-619.415.53.8913.113.6-0.50
Rex Walters770.000.50-0.500.18-620-2614.717.4-2.6610.913.6-2.77
Marty Conlon770.000.50-0.500.18-620-2614.717.4-2.6610.913.6-2.77
Duane Causwell2827-0.080.58-0.650.30-1327-4019.816.13.7510.814.5-3.72

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Robinson770.00-0.500.50-0.186-202610.913.6-2.7714.717.4-2.66
Olden Polynice2727-0.05-0.450.41-0.112-161811.814.1-2.3120.815.75.03
Terry Dehere89-0.06-0.440.37-0.01-2-121012.413.5-1.1415.717.3-1.67
Lawrence Funderburke2728-0.11-0.390.28-0.203-172013.213.5-0.3315.517.9-2.38
Otis Thorpe3940-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-131212.913.8-0.9016.417.8-1.39
Billy Owens6567-0.13-0.370.24-0.192-161813.313.7-0.4218.114.93.24
Mark Hendrickson1818-0.17-0.330.160.04-7-7012.613.6-1.0015.717.5-1.87
Tariq Abdul-Wahad4345-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-121012.614.2-1.6017.017.3-0.26
Michael Stewart2728-0.34-0.16-0.170.10-151-1615.812.43.3814.918.1-3.29
Mitch Richmond6869-0.41-0.09-0.330.20-217-2813.712.61.0717.815.42.42
Anthony Johnson7777-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-140-1413.811.62.2416.819.0-2.25
Corliss Williamson5960-0.49-0.01-0.490.12-217-2814.212.12.0117.716.21.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 122, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
CHI 95, UTA 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
MEM 91, NYK 750.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%