NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	3.0 [1208]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +7.8%
New York Knicks	75		Comeback	1.3 [495]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (NYK): -14.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	24	59%	0.11	2	-0.03	13	54%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	16	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	6	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	10	73%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	69%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.02
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	10	20%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	12	35%	-0.08	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	29.6	16.5	25.4	2.3	34.7	135.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +14.0%

MEM +6.8%

MEM +3.7%

MEM +24.5%

MEM +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	15.7	15.6	102.2	86.2	104.4
season	17.1	15.7		103.5	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.7	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	17.2	15.2	19.1	17.0
NYK	16.0	16.3	15.4	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	4	8	17.2	16.8	0.40	15.8	15.6	0.22
Pau Gasol	77	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	-3	22	17.0	16.8	0.21	16.2	12.9	3.39
Bobby Jackson	28	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	4	8	16.9	17.0	-0.12	15.6	15.7	-0.14
Shane Battier	62	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	-4	24	16.5	18.3	-1.84	16.0	15.1	0.93
Lorenzen Wright	65	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	10	-4	16.9	17.4	-0.50	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Brian Cardinal	27	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	10	-4	16.6	17.2	-0.60	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Eddie Jones	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	8	0	17.2	16.6	0.66	16.2	14.8	1.41
Chucky Atkins	59	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	12	-8	17.1	16.8	0.37	15.9	15.2	0.74
Antonio Burks	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	14.5	17.1	-2.57	4.0	15.8	-11.84
Hakim Warrick	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	20.3	16.9	3.44	7.5	15.9	-8.39
Lawrence Roberts	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	20.3	16.9	3.44	12.0	15.8	-3.83
Dahntay Jones	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	21	-26	18.8	16.9	1.95	10.7	16.1	-5.41

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackie Butler	13	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-12	8	14.2	16.0	-1.73	16.2	17.2	-1.00
Malik Rose	24	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.17	-8	-8	0	16.7	15.3	1.39	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Jerome James	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-10	4	16.3	15.6	0.71	16.6	17.1	-0.49
David Lee	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-10	4	15.8	15.6	0.15	17.3	16.7	0.56
Stephon Marbury	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-8	0	15.3	16.2	-0.88	16.8	17.3	-0.52
Steve Francis	58	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-5	-6	15.6	15.8	-0.19	16.6	17.8	-1.21
Nate Robinson	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	-10	4	15.9	15.6	0.31	17.5	16.7	0.77
Jamal Crawford	40	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-8	0	16.2	15.3	0.88	17.7	16.5	1.20
Eddy Curry	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-11	6	15.6	16.0	-0.41	17.6	15.9	1.73
Maurice Taylor	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-12	8	15.7	15.6	0.12	16.8	17.4	-0.65
Jalen Rose	52	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	-2	-12	15.4	16.1	-0.64	16.6	17.6	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, WAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CHI 95, UTA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
TOR 92, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%