NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	3.0 [1142]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (ATL): +12.0%
Washington Wizards	75		Comeback	1.1 [341]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -13.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.01	-0.06	13	68%	0.14	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Larry Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	67%	0.01	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	13	37%	-0.07	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	14	44%	-0.05	5	-0.07	8	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	8	19%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.01	-0.11	21	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	10	68%	0.00	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	10	33%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	29.5	15.5	27.6	2.4	29.6	132.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.4%

ATL +2.2%

ATL +12.6%

WAS -0.5%

ATL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	15.5	104.1	75.0	100.9
season	15.4	15.2		96.0	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	14.3	14.9	18.6	15.4
WAS	16.1	14.5	14.5	9.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	86	88	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.32	30	-3	33	15.2	17.5	-2.34	14.0	11.1	2.93
Larry Robinson	67	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.24	25	2	23	15.3	15.7	-0.43	13.5	14.0	-0.55
Alan Henderson	67	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.07	14	13	1	16.5	13.3	3.20	13.9	13.2	0.64
Lorenzen Wright	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	13	1	14.8	16.0	-1.21	13.7	13.6	0.05
Matt Maloney	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	22	-17	16.8	13.4	3.47	14.6	12.2	2.39
Anthony Johnson	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.43	22	5	17	14.1	16.7	-2.57	11.7	15.4	-3.77
Hanno Mottola	26	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	11	5	12.6	16.5	-3.86	13.0	13.9	-0.98
Dikembe Mutombo	49	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	23	-19	16.5	14.4	2.16	14.2	13.1	1.11
Chris Crawford	19	19	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	25	-23	15.8	15.4	0.49	15.0	13.3	1.65
Cal Bowdler	6	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	21	-15	12.5	15.6	-3.14	10.7	13.9	-3.16
Dion Glover	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	30	-33	16.6	15.4	1.21	14.8	13.6	1.20
DerMarr Johnson	12	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	27	-27	15.6	15.4	0.15	12.7	13.8	-1.10

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.34	-14	-13	-1	12.7	14.4	-1.70	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Chris Whitney	39	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.41	-18	-9	-9	12.3	14.5	-2.17	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Jahidi White	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-24	21	16.0	12.3	3.66	15.9	15.2	0.77
Calvin Booth	35	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	-16	5	11.3	15.0	-3.70	16.1	15.1	0.96
Michael Smith	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	-16	5	13.4	13.8	-0.47	14.3	16.0	-1.64
Richard Hamilton	71	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-15	3	13.5	14.1	-0.62	15.7	14.8	0.98
Gerard King	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.37	-23	-4	-19	12.7	14.6	-1.89	14.4	16.5	-2.12
Rod Strickland	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-14	1	14.1	12.8	1.30	15.8	14.6	1.18
Juwan Howard	60	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-15	3	14.8	12.0	2.77	16.1	14.4	1.76
Mitch Richmond	68	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.01	-18	-9	-9	14.7	11.5	3.13	15.4	15.6	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, NYK 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CHI 95, UTA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
VAN 101, DAL 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%