NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	101		Excitement	2.8 [1155]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +5.5%
Dallas Mavericks	74		Comeback	1.1 [339]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -9.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	67%	0.07	3	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ike Austin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	60%	0.05	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	15	57%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Grant Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	53%	0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	53%	-0.01	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	8	45%	-0.00	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	11	68%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	5	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	15	29%	-0.09	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	12	21%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.2	16.3	28.7	2.0	28.2	127.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +39.4%

VAN +3.5%

VAN +6.4%

DAL -1.0%

VAN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DAL	NBA	VAN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.5	105.2	77.1	100.9
season	15.6	15.2		97.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.5	15.8	14.4	17.6	15.3
DAL	17.2	16.2	12.8	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	5	17	15.1	16.0	-0.93	15.3	13.1	2.19
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.35	23	4	19	15.1	15.9	-0.80	13.9	17.0	-3.10
Mike Bibby	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	16	-5	14.9	16.1	-1.17	13.9	16.4	-2.45
Bryant Reeves	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	13	1	15.1	15.6	-0.52	14.6	14.8	-0.25
Michael Dickerson	38	41	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	13	1	15.3	15.3	0.02	16.1	13.6	2.49
Kevin Edwards	52	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.23	15	12	3	15.2	15.5	-0.28	14.4	15.0	-0.68
Ike Austin	35	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	14	-1	14.8	15.6	-0.84	14.8	14.6	0.18
Damon Jones	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	16	-5	16.2	14.5	1.65	14.7	14.7	0.02
Grant Long	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	18	-9	15.7	15.0	0.78	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Stromile Swift	10	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	24	-21	18.9	14.9	4.02	18.1	14.3	3.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Curley	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-27	27	14.9	14.7	0.21	18.4	14.9	3.46
Eduardo Najera	42	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-26	25	15.3	14.2	1.04	16.6	14.3	2.38
Christian Laettner	27	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-25	23	15.3	14.5	0.83	16.2	15.0	1.27
Hubert Davis	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-15	3	14.2	15.2	-1.02	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Howard Eisley	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.25	-16	-11	-5	14.3	15.0	-0.71	14.7	15.9	-1.25
Loy Vaught	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.25	-17	-10	-7	16.1	13.8	2.34	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Courtney Alexander	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-10	-7	12.9	16.9	-4.00	15.7	14.8	0.93
Steve Nash	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	-15	3	14.7	14.7	-0.09	15.5	15.1	0.42
Shawn Bradley	53	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-14	1	14.5	15.0	-0.46	14.6	16.2	-1.56
Dirk Nowitzki	55	55	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	-7	-13	15.6	13.4	2.20	14.4	16.5	-2.07
Michael Finley	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	-2	-23	14.7	14.6	0.13	15.1	15.7	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, NOH 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
CHH 116, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
ATL 102, WAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%