NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	116		Excitement	3.3 [1091]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +9.9%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.5 [546]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -10.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	11	83%	0.13	4	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	19	64%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	77%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	57%	-0.01	1	-0.00	12	67%	-0.04
Tim James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.01	8	55%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	12	75%	-0.02
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	0.05	24	52%	0.00	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	29.3	15.4	26.5	1.8	30.0	128.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +28.1%

CHH +11.7%

CHH +6.0%

CHH +3.1%

CHH +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	BOS	NBA	CHH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	120.8	101.0	100.9
season	15.8	15.1		99.7	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.8	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.2	14.2	15.2	16.3	15.0
BOS	14.6	16.4	14.8	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	85	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.11	22	-3	25	14.8	16.8	-2.05	14.8	16.2	-1.33
P.J. Brown	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	2	15	14.5	17.3	-2.79	15.3	13.4	1.93
David Wesley	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	6	7	14.9	15.4	-0.51	14.5	16.8	-2.36
Baron Davis	84	84	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	0	19	15.1	14.4	0.67	15.0	14.7	0.38
Elden Campbell	70	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	7	5	15.4	13.8	1.58	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Eddie Robinson	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	8	3	15.6	14.5	1.09	15.8	14.3	1.47
Jamaal Magloire	26	28	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	12	-5	13.8	15.4	-1.58	16.2	14.5	1.66
Lee Nailon	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	18.3	14.9	3.44	13.3	15.1	-1.72
Tim James	15	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	24	-29	16.7	14.7	1.98	14.5	15.1	-0.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-14	9	13.7	15.1	-1.47	16.9	14.8	2.12
Chris Carr	26	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-16	13	13.3	15.6	-2.37	16.3	14.5	1.82
Adrian Griffin	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-18	17	14.6	15.0	-0.45	15.6	14.9	0.67
Chris Herren	39	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-19	19	14.7	15.2	-0.43	16.0	14.3	1.70
Milt Palacio	22	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-10	1	16.3	14.6	1.65	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Mark Blount	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-20	21	14.5	15.5	-1.04	15.4	14.6	0.88
Randy Brown	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-10	1	14.4	15.4	-1.07	14.6	15.3	-0.64
Paul Pierce	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	-1	-17	15.1	14.8	0.31	14.8	15.4	-0.57
Eric Williams	32	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-5	-9	16.1	14.5	1.64	13.3	15.8	-2.47
Vitaly Potapenko	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-4	-11	15.9	14.3	1.59	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Bryant Stith	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-14	9	14.9	15.2	-0.27	15.3	14.5	0.80
Antoine Walker	85	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	-2	-15	15.2	13.1	2.16	14.9	16.2	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 101, DAL 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 95, UTA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DAL 109, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%