NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	120		Excitement	5.5 [722]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +27.5%
Golden State Warriors	128		Comeback	1.1 [1312]		LVP	Salah Mejri (DAL): -6.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.20	0.01	0.06	16	72%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	16	66%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	8	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	16	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Salah Mejri	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.27	0.01	0.00	25	71%	0.30	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.04	0.02	18	70%	0.25	3	-0.05	11	91%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	11	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.05	0.04	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.5	16.3	29.6	1.8	28.3	131.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +42.2%

GSW +6.5%

DAL -12.0%

GSW +11.6%

GSW +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	13.3	14.9	121.2	129.3	105.1
season	15.5	13.7		105.0	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.7		102.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	16.0	17.0	16.6	15.8
GSW	12.7	12.2	14.3	14.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	45	46	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.30	14	-22	36	16.4	15.3	1.07	14.0	12.7	1.28
Justin Anderson	51	51	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-17	26	16.6	15.0	1.63	13.1	13.4	-0.32
Zaza Pachulia	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-13	18	16.8	14.9	1.90	13.3	13.3	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	50	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	16.4	15.3	1.09	12.6	14.0	-1.43
Salah Mejri	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	5	-18	15.6	15.9	-0.35	13.8	13.0	0.84
Raymond Felton	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	15.9	15.6	0.23	13.6	12.1	1.52
David Lee	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	9	-26	14.9	16.7	-1.81	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Jose Juan Barea	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	6	-20	15.1	17.3	-2.19	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Wesley Matthews	69	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	8	-24	15.2	17.3	-2.17	13.1	13.8	-0.71

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	75	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-7	22	12.9	14.5	-1.67	14.9	18.8	-3.86
Stephen Curry	75	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-7	22	12.9	14.5	-1.67	14.9	18.8	-3.86
Klay Thompson	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	13.6	12.4	1.19	15.9	15.5	0.44
Andrew Bogut	38	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	-2	12	13.4	13.2	0.28	15.9	15.7	0.22
Harrison Barnes	68	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	7	-6	14.1	11.4	2.70	16.6	14.2	2.36
Brandon Rush	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	7	-6	14.2	12.8	1.40	16.4	15.6	0.83
Shaun Livingston	43	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	8	-8	12.5	13.9	-1.35	16.5	15.3	1.23
Ian Clark	5	6	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	5	-2	10.6	13.4	-2.81	14.5	15.9	-1.40
James Michael McAdoo	2	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	6	-4	6.0	13.4	-7.42	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Marreese Speights	23	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.11	-3	11	-14	14.5	12.9	1.57	18.3	15.1	3.16
Anderson Varejao	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	13	-18	12.1	13.6	-1.52	14.0	16.3	-2.34
Leandro Barbosa	40	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.28	-11	19	-30	13.3	13.2	0.09	16.3	15.5	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.98,1	94.9%
LAC 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.9%
TOR 102, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	94.5%