NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	4.5 [891]		MVP	Bryant Stith (BOS): +9.6%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.0 [1108]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -13.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	16	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	5	68%	-0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	18	44%	-0.05	4	-0.09	7	86%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.03	8	90%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	23	48%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	17	41%	-0.01	4	-0.06	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	35.4	15.6	25.1	2.3	34.7	138.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.2%

BOS +8.1%

LAC -7.3%

BOS +17.3%

BOS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	15.5	88.8	96.0	100.9
season	16.1	15.1		99.5	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	15.6	20.8	11.8	15.3
BOS	13.7	12.1	15.2	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-18	27	13.5	16.2	-2.70	14.5	13.4	1.04
Brian Skinner	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.2	15.7	-1.54	11.4	14.6	-3.16
Cherokee Parks	9	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-4	-1	16.1	15.3	0.84	14.0	13.7	0.26
Corey Maggette	39	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-12	15	13.4	16.6	-3.26	14.4	13.3	1.15
Eric Piatkowski	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	14.5	15.7	-1.19	10.3	15.1	-4.78
Sean Rooks	49	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-12	15	14.1	16.6	-2.41	14.5	13.0	1.45
Darius Miles	63	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-5	1	15.9	14.4	1.52	14.9	11.7	3.19
Michael Olowokandi	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	2	-13	17.3	13.7	3.59	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Lamar Odom	75	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-7	5	15.1	16.1	-0.97	14.5	11.1	3.42
Quentin Richardson	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	3	-15	16.6	13.4	3.26	13.3	14.4	-1.15
Jeff McInnis	66	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	9	-27	16.2	13.5	2.70	13.4	14.5	-1.04

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	89	87	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-5	19	13.9	12.5	1.47	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Bryant Stith	82	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-7	23	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.9	13.1	2.81
Randy Brown	60	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-7	23	14.3	13.0	1.27	16.3	13.9	2.41
Tony Battie	46	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-6	21	14.6	13.1	1.53	16.8	14.0	2.81
Paul Pierce	89	87	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	3	3	13.7	14.4	-0.68	15.4	14.6	0.80
Jerome Moiso	7	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.02	4	5	-1	8.6	14.2	-5.58	14.8	15.4	-0.55
Eric Williams	25	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	10	-11	13.7	13.8	-0.05	13.3	16.0	-2.61
Doug Overton	40	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	16	-23	13.0	14.3	-1.27	13.9	16.3	-2.41
Vitaly Potapenko	42	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	20	-31	14.6	13.2	1.40	14.4	16.0	-1.56
Chris Carr	9	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	12.1	13.9	-1.81	12.2	15.7	-3.50
Walter McCarty	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	14	-19	12.5	13.9	-1.47	16.0	15.3	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	96.0%
UTA 104, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 107, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,1,1	95.5%