inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 77 Excitement4.7 [883] MVPRay Allen (SEA): +13.6%
Seattle SuperSonics 84 Comeback1.2 [1055] LVPRaul Lopez (UTA): -16.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.130.090.040.01875%0.1300.004100%0.02
Mikki Moore0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.01683%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tom Gugliotta0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021242%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.011446%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01133%-0.031-0.02450%-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.010.011544%-0.031-0.026100%0.03
Michael Ruffin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00025%-0.041-0.04425%-0.04
Gordan Giricek-0.100,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.021015%-0.091-0.0100%0.00
Raja Bell-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01617%-0.082-0.0300%0.00
Raul Lopez-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17-0.12-0.06-0.0150%-0.112-0.0600%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.140.140.140.050.051576%0.172-0.034100%0.03
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.04-0.01856%0.0600.0011100%0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01862%0.112-0.0800%0.00
Ansu Sesay00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00275%0.011-0.024100%0.01
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerome James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01150%-0.012-0.032100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031148%0.023-0.06580%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04939%0.014-0.0800%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.000.00525%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.530.215.825.00.835.3135.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +42.4%
SEA +17.3%
UTA -5.2%
UTA -8.8%
SEA +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASEANBAUTASEANBA
this game20.115.815.796.2103.7100.5
season17.215.699.4105.0
opponent15.715.2105.9100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA19.720.321.119.120.1
SEA18.215.714.215.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore20210.07-0.570.64-0.3414-213517.221.0-3.8016.915.41.49
Mo Williams4543-0.02-0.480.46-0.4314-213518.422.1-3.7216.614.81.86
Greg Ostertag3534-0.12-0.380.26-0.389-162517.522.0-4.5616.615.11.44
Carlos Arroyo4647-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-7720.519.50.9615.516.1-0.68
Gordan Giricek1719-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-1-523.519.14.3415.515.8-0.30
Jarron Collins3335-0.14-0.360.220.06-70-722.218.53.6816.515.21.24
Sasha Pavlovic5050-0.17-0.330.16-0.387-142118.722.3-3.6016.514.61.90
Michael Ruffin1211-0.24-0.260.020.03-92-1121.619.81.8011.916.4-4.45
Tom Gugliotta4342-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-136-1921.318.52.8115.416.2-0.82
Raja Bell1819-0.34-0.16-0.180.10-158-2320.919.81.0814.016.3-2.29
Raul Lopez3435-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.16-70-719.520.5-0.9615.815.70.13
Andrei Kirilenko4749-0.590.09-0.680.06-2215-3721.518.03.5414.917.1-2.22

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vitaly Potapenko64650.58-0.080.660.0518-112915.217.8-2.6221.414.07.45
Brent Barry61610.53-0.030.560.1214-72115.117.6-2.5221.016.94.07
Rashard Lewis67650.450.050.410.2861515.417.4-2.0320.418.51.87
Ray Allen58580.410.090.330.188-1915.616.0-0.4120.618.52.14
Antonio Daniels44430.400.100.300.3134-115.915.60.2918.821.5-2.77
Vladimir Radmanovic39400.200.30-0.100.2007-716.515.11.4218.521.5-3.00
Reggie Evans32310.120.38-0.27-0.0661515.416.0-0.5222.218.73.55
Ansu Sesay100.000.50-0.500.0007-75.015.9-10.890.020.0-20.05
Jerome James1615-0.080.58-0.660.24-1118-2918.615.03.5814.021.4-7.45
Ronald Murray2322-0.110.61-0.730.15-916-2517.715.02.6517.021.2-4.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 91, CHI 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,195.0%
DAL 120, GSW 1280.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.98,0.99,194.9%
MIL 96, BOS 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,194.9%