NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	4.3 [949]		MVP	Marcus Banks (BOS): +4.2%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	1.1 [1101]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -10.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Santiago	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	53%	-0.00	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.06	2	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Michael Redd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	20	44%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	8	61%	0.06	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	89%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	22	51%	0.05	5	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	494.0	2.4	29.5	15.3	25.4	2.0	29.0	597.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.5%

BOS +3.5%

BOS +8.1%

MIL -7.6%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	13.4	15.7	98.0	107.1	100.5
season	15.3	14.4		103.6	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.6	17.9	14.4	13.6	15.9
BOS	11.9	12.7	13.3	15.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Haislip	24	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-15	20	13.6	16.6	-2.96	15.7	12.6	3.11
Erick Strickland	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-16	22	15.4	16.1	-0.67	14.8	12.5	2.22
Dan Gadzuric	52	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-18	26	15.5	16.3	-0.80	14.1	12.5	1.62
Damon Jones	43	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	14.6	16.8	-2.19	14.4	12.5	1.82
Daniel Santiago	32	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	3	-16	15.4	16.1	-0.67	12.8	13.7	-0.91
Toni Kukoc	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	17.5	15.1	2.47	12.7	13.7	-1.04
Joe Smith	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	2	-14	16.5	15.0	1.47	12.4	14.7	-2.30
Desmond Mason	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	2	-14	16.4	13.7	2.65	13.4	13.3	0.16
T.J. Ford	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	5	-20	16.5	15.0	1.58	12.4	14.6	-2.25
Michael Redd	79	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	4	-18	15.7	16.5	-0.76	12.9	16.0	-3.15

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	57	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-9	28	13.2	13.6	-0.39	15.6	16.2	-0.66
Vin Baker	58	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-6	22	13.4	13.3	0.13	15.9	15.8	0.11
Paul Pierce	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	3	4	13.6	12.7	0.88	16.0	15.4	0.57
Jiri Welsch	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	0	10	13.8	12.9	0.92	16.8	14.6	2.23
Mark Blount	45	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	1	8	12.6	14.0	-1.41	16.6	15.2	1.37
Raef LaFrentz	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	5	0	14.1	12.9	1.20	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Eric Williams	62	63	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	11	-12	12.6	14.6	-2.00	15.6	16.3	-0.62
Tony Battie	32	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	11	-12	13.7	13.3	0.39	16.4	15.6	0.78
Walter McCarty	18	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	15	-20	13.7	13.3	0.40	12.6	16.5	-3.94
Marcus Banks	44	42	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	19	-28	13.6	13.2	0.35	15.7	15.9	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 88, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,0.99,1	96.0%
DEN 86, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%