NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	88		Excitement	3.9 [1028]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (DET): +8.4%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.1 [1048]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (DEN): -13.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.06	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	10	23%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	69%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	13	60%	0.11	4	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	10	79%	0.10	5	-0.07	8	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	47%	0.03	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	28.0	17.7	23.5	1.8	38.0	132.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.6%

DEN -1.8%

DET +11.2%

DET +3.9%

DET +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DET	NBA	DEN	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	15.1	88.9	99.0	104.2
season	14.6	15.7		103.4	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.5	15.3	14.8	11.0	13.8
DET	14.3	14.7	15.2	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	12.2	14.2	-2.04	17.6	14.8	2.82
Randy Foye	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.27	8	-18	26	11.8	14.7	-2.89	16.3	14.8	1.46
Erick Green	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-12	14	16.7	13.3	3.47	16.9	15.0	1.90
Gary Harris	25	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-5	0	12.3	14.4	-2.08	15.2	15.3	-0.06
JJ Hickson	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-8	6	14.5	13.6	0.92	15.6	15.1	0.49
Kenneth Faried	52	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	13.2	14.6	-1.36	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Darrell Arthur	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-1	-8	14.3	13.6	0.69	15.3	15.2	0.05
Danilo Gallinari	63	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-14	18	13.2	15.0	-1.78	15.6	14.7	0.92
Wilson Chandler	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	2	-14	13.9	13.8	0.18	14.7	15.7	-0.97
Arron Afflalo	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	3	-16	16.0	12.0	4.00	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Jusuf Nurkic	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	4	-18	15.1	12.4	2.68	14.7	15.9	-1.25
Ty Lawson	83	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	13.3	16.7	-3.47	15.0	16.9	-1.90

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	74	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-6	22	14.5	17.4	-2.82	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Greg Monroe	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	15.1	15.9	-0.84	13.5	15.1	-1.63
Kyle Singler	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	-4	18	14.1	17.1	-2.92	13.4	14.6	-1.24
Andre Drummond	66	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-2	14	15.2	15.3	-0.03	15.0	11.6	3.47
Jodie Meeks	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	4	2	15.5	15.0	0.58	14.4	13.3	1.05
Anthony Tolliver	30	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	14.8	15.4	-0.65	14.9	13.3	1.58
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	49	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.07	4	6	-2	15.0	15.5	-0.58	13.3	14.4	-1.05
Caron Butler	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	14	-18	17.1	14.1	2.92	14.6	13.4	1.24
Jonas Jerebko	21	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	15	-20	15.8	15.1	0.71	9.8	14.9	-5.17
John Lucas III	25	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	16	-22	17.4	14.5	2.82	14.9	13.5	1.39
Joel Anthony	4	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	19.5	15.1	4.43	14.5	13.8	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 109, ORL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NYK 100, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
TOR 86, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%