NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	4.1 [986]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +20.8%
Toronto Raptors	115		Comeback	1.2 [1004]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -6.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	84%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	-0.00	0.09	12	77%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Toure Murry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	16	41%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.05	0.05	17	73%	0.23	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.02	0.02	16	72%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.01	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	30.2	15.5	28.7	1.8	35.3	138.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +21.2%

TOR +11.6%

TOR +17.9%

NYK -2.7%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	15.1	104.2	121.1	105.2
season	16.0	15.9		106.4	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.6	13.8	15.1	13.7	14.0
TOR	14.7	13.3	18.3	19.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Smith	3	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	3.7	14.3	-10.68	25.0	16.1	8.94
Cole Aldrich	3	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	3.7	14.3	-10.68	25.0	16.1	8.94
Kenyon Martin	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-19	23	13.2	14.6	-1.41	17.9	15.0	2.85
Toure Murry	55	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-19	23	12.8	15.6	-2.79	17.9	14.0	3.95
Iman Shumpert	58	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-18	21	14.5	13.2	1.28	16.2	16.0	0.22
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-15	15	13.9	14.2	-0.29	16.6	15.5	1.14
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-4	-7	12.6	15.9	-3.22	16.7	15.4	1.27
Andrea Bargnani	34	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-2	-11	15.1	13.4	1.71	15.2	16.7	-1.55
Beno Udrih	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	4	-23	15.6	12.8	2.79	14.0	17.9	-3.95
Tyson Chandler	55	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.05	-17	2	-19	15.2	12.5	2.70	14.8	18.1	-3.21
J.R. Smith	79	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.06	-22	7	-29	14.6	11.3	3.30	15.7	18.3	-2.59

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-4	23	15.7	17.9	-2.21	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Amir Johnson	64	64	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-8	31	16.3	15.8	0.57	14.5	13.0	1.47
DeMar DeRozan	71	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-4	23	15.9	17.0	-1.18	14.5	12.4	2.07
Terrence Ross	66	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	8	-1	15.7	17.2	-1.51	14.7	12.6	2.14
Jonas Valanciunas	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.17	18	-3	21	16.4	15.9	0.42	14.5	13.4	1.07
Patrick Patterson	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	18	-21	15.9	16.4	-0.42	13.4	14.5	-1.07
John Salmons	44	46	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	6	3	16.8	15.6	1.23	13.1	14.8	-1.73
Tyler Hansbrough	31	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	23	-31	15.8	16.3	-0.57	13.0	14.5	-1.47
Greivis Vasquez	29	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	24	-33	18.1	15.3	2.85	13.1	14.4	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,0.99,1	96.2%
BKN 100, GSW 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
HOU 87, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%