NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	3.5 [1098]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +17.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	112		Comeback	1.6 [739]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -11.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.06	12	55%	0.12	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	10	44%	0.06	6	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	46%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.05	8	55%	-0.04	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Jose Calderon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	7	44%	-0.05	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.02	0.03	13	74%	0.18	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.01	-0.08	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	11	41%	0.04	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	30.3	15.7	29.8	2.4	27.7	134.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +43.8%

TOR -8.6%

TOR -2.7%

CHA +13.6%

CHA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	13.0	16.2	15.5	87.8	113.1	106.4
season	15.1	16.5		105.0	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		104.5	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.9	13.3	14.2	11.7	13.0
CHA	15.3	20.4	14.6	15.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick O'Bryant	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-19	12	9.9	13.2	-3.37	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Joey Graham	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.20	-11	-15	4	12.6	13.2	-0.58	17.0	15.8	1.15
Roko Leni Ukic	20	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.30	-16	-10	-6	10.3	13.7	-3.38	13.2	17.0	-3.80
Jason Kapono	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.28	-18	-8	-10	11.8	13.7	-1.92	15.9	16.4	-0.45
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	41	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.28	-18	-8	-10	12.1	13.6	-1.49	16.7	15.9	0.87
Jose Calderon	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-19	12	14.1	10.9	3.14	16.5	15.6	0.89
Anthony Parker	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-17	8	13.5	11.3	2.26	16.8	14.3	2.51
Chris Bosh	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-17	8	13.7	10.3	3.38	16.6	14.9	1.61
Shawn Marion	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-9	-8	13.0	13.0	0.03	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Andrea Bargnani	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-8	-10	13.0	12.9	0.19	15.7	17.6	-1.82

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	87	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.21	25	1	24	16.3	15.7	0.55	12.7	14.8	-2.10
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.31	27	-1	28	16.7	15.4	1.33	12.9	13.1	-0.24
D.J. Augustin	40	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.24	20	6	14	16.9	15.7	1.20	13.0	12.9	0.10
Raymond Felton	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	14	-2	16.4	15.8	0.62	12.9	13.2	-0.35
Emeka Okafor	56	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	17	-8	14.6	18.3	-3.74	14.0	11.6	2.36
Cartier Martin	32	30	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.26	15	11	4	15.9	16.4	-0.44	12.8	13.1	-0.32
Juwan Howard	6	6	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	19	-12	22.5	15.8	6.67	12.2	13.0	-0.88
Raja Bell	59	59	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	21	-16	15.7	17.0	-1.37	13.2	12.7	0.49
DeSagana Diop	23	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.25	12	14	-2	18.0	15.7	2.25	11.4	13.4	-2.04
Nazr Mohammed	5	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	27	-28	18.6	16.1	2.49	15.5	12.8	2.67
Sean May	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	19	-12	14.7	16.3	-1.63	9.9	13.2	-3.37
Boris Diaw	56	56	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	15.6	17.0	-1.40	12.9	13.1	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 78, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
HOU 87, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DEN 88, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,0.99,1	96.1%