NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	7.7 [318]		MVP	Ira Newble (CLE): +10.6%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	4.0 [476]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): -15.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	4	90%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.07	0.01	23	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	14	79%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.07
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	46%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	14	53%	0.16	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	20	56%	0.11	6	-0.16	8	50%	-0.09
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	62%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	9	56%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	10	64%	0.08	7	-0.24	8	62%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.7	27.1	18.6	28.7	3.0	48.0	153.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -31.6%

CLE +33.4%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +43.4%

CLE +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.4	106.5	101.1	104.5
season	16.0	14.8		103.2	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	15.8	15.4	14.1	15.6
WAS	15.5	14.9	15.9	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	32	34	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-6	17	15.5	15.6	-0.09	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	52	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-6	17	16.6	14.1	2.51	16.4	14.1	2.24
Anderson Varejao	52	52	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	0	5	15.5	15.7	-0.21	14.9	16.0	-1.16
LeBron James	86	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	15.3	18.7	-3.38	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Larry Hughes	87	85	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	3	-1	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.3	15.9	-0.55
Donyell Marshall	29	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	-2	9	14.5	16.1	-1.61	16.0	15.1	0.94
Eric Snow	36	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	5	-5	14.1	16.5	-2.42	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Scot Pollard	1	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	7	-9	1.0	15.7	-14.75	11.5	15.5	-3.96
Sasha Pavlovic	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	8	-11	16.5	14.9	1.60	16.0	14.9	1.14
Drew Gooden	46	48	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	16	-27	16.3	14.9	1.45	15.5	15.2	0.30

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.26	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Michael Ruffin	17	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.7	15.3	0.40	14.2	15.9	-1.66
Roger Mason Jr.	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.2	0.98	17.4	15.2	2.16
Jarvis Hayes	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	2	-9	15.2	15.7	-0.54	14.6	17.1	-2.52
DeShawn Stevenson	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	15.4	15.5	-0.14	15.7	14.5	1.29
Darius Songaila	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	14.6	16.4	-1.75	14.8	16.7	-1.95
Etan Thomas	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-4	3	15.9	14.1	1.76	16.7	12.8	3.91
Antawn Jamison	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.50	1	-6	7	15.7	14.3	1.37	16.0	14.1	1.87
Antonio Daniels	86	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	15.2	17.9	-2.68	15.3	18.7	-3.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.11,0.07,0.15,0	92.5%
MIA 89, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.23,0.1,0,0	91.3%
LAL 115, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.59,0.33,0.38,0.22,0.24,0.08,0	91.1%