NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	7.6 [325]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +45.2%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	5.2 [391]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -10.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.45	0.19	0.30	0.03	21	74%	0.62	6	-0.16	11	100%	0.09
Lamar Odom	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0.09,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.12	0.22	0.01	13	67%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.03	14	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.18	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.18	0.14	-0.03	26	67%	0.40	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.08	0.06	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	24	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.15	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	27.4	15.4	28.1	0.7	35.9	136.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -0.1%

LAL +34.8%

LAL +31.3%

GSW -16.3%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	14.8	15.5	126.4	120.9	105.7
season	15.9	14.8		108.8	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.4	16.8	16.6	14.8	16.8
GSW	14.9	13.9	16.1	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-3	11	16.9	16.6	0.28	14.6	15.8	-1.29
Metta World Peace	75	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	1	3	17.3	14.7	2.57	14.8	15.2	-0.41
Derek Fisher	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	1	3	17.0	16.3	0.69	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Shannon Brown	28	27	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-4	13	16.0	17.2	-1.16	15.7	14.5	1.22
Lamar Odom	57	59	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.37	-4	9	-13	15.3	19.4	-4.07	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Andrew Bynum	53	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-1	7	18.4	14.6	3.73	15.3	14.2	1.17
Kobe Bryant	70	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	7	-9	16.6	17.5	-0.94	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Steve Blake	24	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	16.3	17.0	-0.69	15.7	14.5	1.15
Luke Walton	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	6	-7	17.2	16.8	0.47	14.4	14.9	-0.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-4	3	14.7	15.0	-0.23	18.4	15.2	3.16
Acie Law	21	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	2	-9	15.9	14.5	1.38	15.2	17.2	-1.99
David Lee	69	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-4	3	14.9	14.7	0.22	16.6	17.5	-0.94
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	1	-7	13.9	15.5	-1.54	14.2	18.7	-4.50
Stephen Curry	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-7	9	14.5	15.9	-1.38	17.2	15.2	1.99
Dan Gadzuric	31	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-3	1	16.0	14.2	1.75	18.4	16.1	2.25
Dorell Wright	91	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.8	0.0	14.85	16.8	0.0	16.80
Monta Ellis	91	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.8	0.0	14.85	16.8	0.0	16.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.47,0.59,0.33,0.38,0.22,0.24,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	91.7%
MIA 108, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	91.3%
LAC 100, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.08,0	91.1%