NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	7.4 [326]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +14.2%
Sacramento Kings	86		Comeback	4.8 [115]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -36.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	18	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.01	29	48%	0.13	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	42%	-0.08	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.07
Trenton Hassell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	77%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	5	31%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	15	37%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.15	0.02	18	47%	-0.16	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.08
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.33,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.23	0.03	21	46%	-0.19	5	-0.18	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	3.6	27.8	19.4	28.5	3.4	40.8	146.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.7%

MIN +4.6%

MIN +2.9%

MIN +9.4%

MIN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.7	102.2	93.5	100.5
season	15.6	14.7		103.2	106.9
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	19.1	16.1	15.4	16.4
SAC	15.2	16.1	14.6	14.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	59	60	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-5	18	17.1	15.1	1.99	15.0	14.7	0.28
Sam Cassell	88	87	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-3	14	15.9	27.5	-11.64	14.7	19.4	-4.72
Kevin Garnett	89	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	0	8	16.2	20.3	-4.10	14.7	20.2	-5.56
Michael Olowokandi	47	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	19.1	13.5	5.68	16.5	13.2	3.28
Fred Hoiberg	22	24	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	17.8	15.9	1.90	17.5	14.0	3.47
Latrell Sprewell	70	68	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	8	-8	15.9	17.8	-1.90	14.0	17.5	-3.47
Ervin Johnson	38	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	7	-6	13.7	18.2	-4.49	13.1	16.2	-3.06
Darrick Martin	4	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	11	-14	27.5	15.9	11.64	19.4	14.7	4.72
Mark Madsen	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	12	-16	17.4	16.3	1.10	17.2	14.7	2.54
Trenton Hassell	35	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	11	-14	14.4	17.6	-3.18	14.5	15.2	-0.61

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	43	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	14.3	15.4	-1.10	14.5	17.9	-3.35
Bobby Jackson	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-5	2	16.2	14.5	1.65	18.5	15.7	2.87
Anthony Peeler	22	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-1	-6	16.3	14.5	1.82	17.3	16.1	1.19
Brad Miller	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-8	8	16.0	13.4	2.53	18.4	13.6	4.80
Mike Bibby	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	14.5	16.2	-1.65	15.7	18.5	-2.87
Doug Christie	83	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-7	6	14.5	18.6	-4.01	16.4	15.9	0.54
Peja Stojakovic	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	2	-12	14.9	15.3	-0.46	15.7	20.6	-4.85
Chris Webber	86	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	2	-12	14.7	19.0	-4.35	16.3	17.0	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	92.8%
MIA 99, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.02,0	92.6%
BOS 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.15,0	92.3%