NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	8.2 [219]		MVP	John Salmons (MIL): +16.9%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	4.5 [221]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -35.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	12	65%	0.27	3	-0.10	10	80%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	4	112%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	11	38%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jon Brockman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	19	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	45%	0.00	2	-0.11	8	75%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	15	30%	-0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	7	64%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.17	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.11	-0.20	0.01	11	48%	-0.06	6	-0.26	7	86%	0.03
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.35	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	0.00	17	45%	-0.11	7	-0.24	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	35.0	16.8	27.8	2.0	34.2	144.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.2%

MIL +2.5%

MIL +16.4%

MIL +14.7%

MIL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	12.8	15.5	94.0	90.0	105.7
season	16.2	14.7		100.1	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.1	14.3	19.0	16.2	16.0
IND	12.6	12.4	13.1	13.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	53	55	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-11	26	16.7	15.2	1.52	12.9	12.6	0.33
Carlos Delfino	81	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-3	10	15.1	19.7	-4.59	12.5	13.8	-1.31
Luc Mbah a Moute	82	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.44	-5	9	-14	16.4	14.3	2.12	12.7	13.2	-0.52
Keyon Dooling	29	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-7	18	16.6	15.8	0.75	13.6	12.4	1.22
John Salmons	85	84	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.38	-5	9	-14	16.1	15.5	0.65	12.7	13.1	-0.34
Brandon Jennings	71	70	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.42	-7	11	-18	15.8	16.6	-0.75	12.4	13.6	-1.22
Jon Brockman	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	-2	8	15.5	16.2	-0.71	12.0	13.1	-1.10
Corey Maggette	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-2	8	17.9	15.1	2.78	13.5	12.4	1.09
Drew Gooden	25	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	16.2	16.0	0.24	14.3	12.3	2.01
Larry Sanders	11	10	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	11	-18	10.6	16.7	-6.05	11.2	13.0	-1.76

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.10	-3	-1	-2	13.1	12.6	0.50	16.4	15.9	0.58
Paul George	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	0	-4	13.6	12.5	1.16	17.6	15.5	2.16
Josh McRoberts	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	14.0	12.4	1.68	14.7	16.5	-1.79
T.J. Ford	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	1	-6	13.7	12.4	1.28	17.5	15.5	2.01
James Posey	60	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-8	12	11.7	14.3	-2.57	15.8	16.3	-0.42
Tyler Hansbrough	18	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	3	-10	14.7	12.4	2.30	17.3	15.7	1.53
Danny Granger	87	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-7	10	12.8	12.8	-0.08	16.2	14.5	1.76
Darren Collison	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-5	6	12.4	13.7	-1.28	15.5	17.5	-2.01
Roy Hibbert	73	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-3	2	12.6	13.1	-0.50	16.1	15.9	0.23
Mike Dunleavy	83	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	0	-4	12.5	14.3	-1.82	15.4	19.1	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.11,0.07,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.16,0.14,0.18,0	92.9%
PHI 91, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	92.5%
CLE 99, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.05,0	92.5%