NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	8.3 [183]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (TOR): +15.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	3.1 [282]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -9.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	5	67%	0.22	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Andrea Bargnani	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	14	53%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Antoine Wright	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	19	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.14	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sonny Weems	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	5	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	72%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.05
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	15	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	55%	0.07	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.04
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.10	0.08	-0.15	0.02	12	75%	0.09	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	27.5	15.7	30.2	2.6	43.2	145.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.1%

CHA -14.2%

TOR +11.1%

TOR +11.9%

CHA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.3	114.4	112.2	106.0
season	15.0	16.2		109.6	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.7	16.9	15.7	15.1	15.9
CHA	17.0	15.8	15.0	16.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	44	43	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.51	2	0	2	15.8	15.9	-0.12	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Chris Bosh	74	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-2	6	15.6	17.1	-1.47	16.1	16.5	-0.42
Hedo Turkoglu	51	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-4	10	16.9	14.4	2.51	15.2	17.4	-2.21
Antoine Wright	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	3	-4	15.3	16.8	-1.44	16.7	15.1	1.60
Andrea Bargnani	72	74	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.36	-3	5	-8	15.4	17.5	-2.06	15.8	17.8	-2.03
Amir Johnson	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	-4	10	17.2	15.2	1.99	18.0	15.3	2.69
Sonny Weems	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	4	-6	14.4	16.7	-2.27	16.4	16.0	0.34
Jose Calderon	47	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	0	2	15.6	16.1	-0.45	16.3	16.0	0.32
Reggie Evans	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	17.8	15.7	2.06	12.8	16.4	-3.55
DeMar DeRozan	36	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	3	-4	16.8	15.2	1.63	16.4	16.0	0.44

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	33	32	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-4	6	16.8	15.8	1.02	16.2	15.6	0.61
Stephen Graham	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	17.1	16.0	1.07	18.9	15.5	3.42
Tyson Chandler	50	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-3	4	15.1	17.5	-2.44	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Boris Diaw	81	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	15.9	18.3	-2.43	15.9	15.0	0.94
Stephen Jackson	66	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-1	0	15.6	17.7	-2.19	14.7	18.7	-3.99
Theo Ratliff	40	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	1	-4	17.5	15.1	2.44	16.2	15.6	0.63
Larry Hughes	38	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	2	-6	17.0	15.5	1.44	17.4	14.7	2.62
Gerald Wallace	83	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.1	16.4	-0.31	15.7	17.9	-2.17
Raymond Felton	57	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	2	-6	15.8	16.8	-1.02	15.6	16.2	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.16,0.14,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.11,0.07,0.15,0	92.9%
MIN 89, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.31,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.13,0.42,0	92.6%
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	92.3%