NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	3.6 [1087]		MVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): +13.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	1.3 [841]		LVP	Mike James (MIN): -11.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	11	74%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.06	24	58%	0.04	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	62%	0.09	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justin Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.09	6	87%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	13	63%	0.05	5	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	4.4	29.5	17.6	26.2	3.0	30.0	135.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.7%

CLE +0.4%

CLE +14.2%

CLE +13.5%

CLE +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.4	107.4	94.6	104.5
season	16.0	15.4		103.2	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	13.9	16.5	18.8	15.8
MIN	15.8	16.1	16.2	11.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-9	31	15.0	17.5	-2.52	15.5	13.9	1.53
LeBron James	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.05	21	-8	29	15.6	17.2	-1.61	15.4	11.9	3.53
Larry Hughes	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-6	25	15.3	19.1	-3.88	15.4	12.5	2.89
Sasha Pavlovic	60	59	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-6	25	15.5	16.5	-1.03	15.9	13.4	2.53
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.10	16	-3	19	15.4	16.4	-0.93	15.6	14.1	1.55
Anderson Varejao	54	52	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.26	-7	20	-27	16.8	14.6	2.20	13.8	16.4	-2.61
Shannon Brown	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	17.3	15.8	1.54	8.5	15.1	-6.60
Donyell Marshall	15	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	17	-21	18.1	15.4	2.65	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Scot Pollard	4	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	14	-15	13.5	15.9	-2.44	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Eric Snow	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.27	-10	23	-33	16.1	15.8	0.33	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Daniel Gibson	33	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	23	-33	18.2	14.6	3.56	12.8	16.1	-3.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	6.8	15.4	-8.62	19.8	15.6	4.18
Trenton Hassell	15	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-14	15	14.4	15.1	-0.66	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Craig Smith	47	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.42	13	-26	39	13.6	16.3	-2.75	16.6	15.1	1.55
Rashad McCants	49	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-21	29	13.1	17.0	-3.83	16.3	15.3	0.98
Mark Madsen	34	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-8	3	13.9	15.5	-1.60	14.8	16.4	-1.56
Randy Foye	61	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-15	17	14.1	16.5	-2.35	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Mark Blount	32	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	2	-17	16.5	14.1	2.35	15.8	15.8	0.01
Mike James	32	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	2	-17	16.5	14.1	2.35	15.8	15.8	0.01
Marko Jaric	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	5	-23	16.1	12.7	3.46	15.9	15.8	0.04
Ricky Davis	56	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.13	-21	8	-29	16.1	13.2	2.94	15.4	16.6	-1.25
Kevin Garnett	73	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	6	-25	15.6	12.5	3.13	15.8	16.1	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 106, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAC 86, NOH 75	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.1%
IND 117, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%