NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	106		Excitement	4.0 [965]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +8.0%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.1 [489]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -12.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	9	42%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	74%	0.10	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	9	68%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	19	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	7	48%	-0.01	3	-0.06	9	33%	-0.05
J.R. Reid	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	7	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	12	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.02	13	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	12	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	17	51%	-0.03	6	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	11	41%	-0.04	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.5	23.9	16.3	24.5	1.4	25.7	116.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +55.2%

TOR -9.4%

TOR -0.1%

CHH +6.0%

TOR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	TOR	NBA	CHH	TOR	NBA
this game	13.1	14.3	15.6	100.0	85.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.5		104.0	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.9		108.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	12.7	12.4	13.9	13.7	13.1
TOR	14.0	13.4	15.5	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	70	67	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.17	27	-10	37	13.0	13.3	-0.23	14.8	13.4	1.42
Anthony Mason	74	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-3	23	13.1	13.1	0.04	14.9	12.8	2.11
David Wesley	78	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	1	15	13.0	13.5	-0.56	14.8	13.0	1.73
Glen Rice	81	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	5	7	13.2	13.0	0.16	14.5	13.8	0.63
Matt Geiger	52	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	8	1	12.9	13.3	-0.43	14.1	14.5	-0.45
Vlade Divac	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	8	1	13.4	13.0	0.39	14.6	14.1	0.45
Dell Curry	38	37	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	20	-23	13.6	12.9	0.71	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Vernon Maxwell	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	19	-21	13.1	13.2	-0.09	13.1	14.9	-1.87
Donald Royal	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	16	-15	13.1	13.1	-0.08	12.7	14.6	-1.85
J.R. Reid	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	21	-25	13.6	12.9	0.68	13.6	14.7	-1.17
Corey Beck	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	10.9	13.3	-2.43	11.7	14.5	-2.79

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	40	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-25	33	13.8	14.7	-0.88	13.2	13.1	0.08
Roy Rogers	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	11.7	14.5	-2.79	10.9	13.3	-2.43
Chris Garner	22	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-15	13	13.1	14.6	-1.50	12.1	13.4	-1.32
John Thomas	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-14	11	14.8	14.1	0.71	13.3	13.1	0.21
Dee Brown	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-10	3	14.5	14.1	0.33	12.9	13.3	-0.36
Marcus Camby	65	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-10	3	14.5	13.9	0.59	13.8	12.0	1.82
John Wallace	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-10	3	13.9	14.9	-0.95	13.0	13.3	-0.30
Chauncey Billups	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-10	3	14.3	14.4	-0.05	13.4	12.6	0.80
Tracy McGrady	56	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	0	-17	14.4	14.2	0.28	13.2	13.0	0.19
Oliver Miller	43	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.16	-22	5	-27	15.0	13.8	1.16	13.2	13.1	0.10
Doug Christie	74	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	4	-25	14.5	13.8	0.77	12.8	13.9	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NJN 94, BOS 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 78, POR 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%