NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	3.4 [1086]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +14.9%
Boston Celtics	76		Comeback	1.0 [558]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -11.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	12	78%	0.15	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	12	67%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tamar Slay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	53%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	15	29%	-0.05	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	53%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	22	47%	0.01	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	17	41%	-0.05	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.06	5	0%	-0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.7	29.4	19.5	27.9	3.7	31.3	142.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.2%

BOS -0.6%

BOS -6.4%

NJN +17.3%

NJN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.5	103.3	82.6	101.6
season	15.0	15.6		101.1	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	15.9	11.9	18.4	14.8
BOS	15.8	16.8	18.1	15.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	77	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.16	24	-6	30	14.5	16.5	-1.99	17.1	14.2	2.91
Jason Kidd	71	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	-6	30	14.2	17.1	-3.00	17.4	13.8	3.61
Kenyon Martin	78	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-3	24	14.7	15.4	-0.67	17.0	14.4	2.57
Jason Collins	45	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	0	18	13.6	16.0	-2.44	17.4	15.9	1.43
Kerry Kittles	54	54	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	2	14	13.5	16.8	-3.32	16.9	16.3	0.53
Lucious Harris	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	16	-14	16.8	13.5	3.32	16.3	16.9	-0.53
Aaron Williams	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	15	-12	16.2	13.7	2.56	16.1	17.1	-0.91
Tamar Slay	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	14.5	14.8	-0.34	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Brian Scalabrine	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	14.5	14.8	-0.34	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Dikembe Mutombo	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	14.5	14.8	-0.34	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Rodney Rogers	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	21	-24	17.1	14.4	2.78	14.3	17.1	-2.77
Anthony Johnson	20	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	24	-30	17.1	14.2	3.00	13.8	17.4	-3.61

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-24	30	15.7	16.7	-0.99	16.7	14.6	2.06
Bimbo Coles	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	14.2	16.8	-2.59	14.5	14.8	-0.34
Kedrick Brown	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.2	16.8	-2.59	14.5	14.8	-0.34
Tony Battie	32	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	-11	4	17.2	16.4	0.82	15.1	14.6	0.44
J.R. Bremer	40	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-10	2	15.8	17.3	-1.46	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Walter McCarty	67	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-14	10	16.4	17.2	-0.75	15.5	13.0	2.54
Eric Williams	41	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.21	-18	0	-18	17.4	16.1	1.33	13.0	16.2	-3.22
Mark Blount	39	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-12	6	16.3	16.9	-0.60	14.9	14.8	0.09
Tony Delk	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-7	-4	16.9	16.0	0.86	15.7	12.2	3.48
Paul Pierce	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	3	-24	17.0	14.5	2.54	14.3	17.9	-3.60
Antoine Walker	79	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	7	-32	16.6	16.8	-0.14	14.7	15.2	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 106, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIA 110, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0	96.2%
DAL 99, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%