NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	3.1 [1137]		MVP	Malik Sealy (MIN): +7.7%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.1 [1131]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -13.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	83%	0.14	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	55%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.05	2	-0.00	10	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	14	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	67%	0.00	2	0.00	4	50%	0.00
William Avery	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	7	14%	-0.05	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	16	45%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	4	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	-0.00	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.01
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	14	41%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	16	41%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.0	31.0	15.5	22.5	2.4	29.9	125.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.4%

MIN +8.2%

MIN +3.6%

MIN +4.3%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	16.8	15.2	114.0	91.5	101.7
season	15.1	16.5		103.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.7		102.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	14.8	15.2	13.3	14.0
CHI	17.0	18.6	19.8	12.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	60	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.31	30	-10	40	13.9	14.1	-0.17	18.4	13.7	4.78
Wally Szczerbiak	59	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.32	30	-10	40	13.5	14.9	-1.42	18.7	13.4	5.31
Terrell Brandon	53	55	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-2	24	14.0	13.9	0.05	18.7	14.1	4.67
Malik Sealy	54	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.29	28	-8	36	13.5	14.7	-1.19	18.9	14.0	4.85
Rasho Nesterovic	50	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	8	4	13.7	14.3	-0.60	18.5	14.9	3.57
Joe Smith	49	50	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.20	14	6	8	15.4	12.4	3.06	17.0	16.6	0.41
Tom Hammonds	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.28	-9	29	-38	12.9	14.2	-1.25	9.4	18.1	-8.67
Andrae Patterson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	10.8	14.4	-3.61	9.2	17.9	-8.66
Anthony Peeler	39	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	28	-36	14.7	13.5	1.19	14.0	18.9	-4.85
William Avery	40	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	22	-24	13.9	14.0	-0.05	14.1	18.7	-4.67
Sam Mitchell	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	30	-40	14.9	13.5	1.42	13.4	18.7	-5.31

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	29	28	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.29	12	-32	44	14.8	17.7	-2.91	13.4	14.2	-0.89
Will Perdue	20	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.32	-13	-7	-6	15.9	17.0	-1.09	14.1	13.9	0.21
Michael Ruffin	28	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.19	-9	-11	2	18.4	16.2	2.21	13.3	14.3	-0.98
Corey Benjamin	61	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-10	0	15.9	18.6	-2.72	14.1	13.7	0.41
Kornel David	53	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-13	6	16.6	17.1	-0.47	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Elton Brand	73	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-15	10	16.5	17.7	-1.17	14.3	12.9	1.36
Metta World Peace	74	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	3	-26	17.7	13.3	4.39	14.1	13.7	0.40
Dickey Simpkins	42	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	0	-20	18.5	15.4	3.10	14.0	13.9	0.13
Rusty LaRue	90	89	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.13	-25	5	-30	16.6	22.0	-5.42	14.1	11.7	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, BOS 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BOS 105, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
WAS 109, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%