NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	2.9 [1188]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +14.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	87		Comeback	1.1 [955]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -11.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.04	11	92%	0.18	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	7	72%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	11	75%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Eddie House	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	58%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.23	0.02	0.09	19	77%	0.16	3	-0.01	9	100%	0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	16	42%	-0.00	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	32.4	15.7	28.3	2.7	26.2	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.9%

BOS +5.1%

BOS +11.2%

BOS +4.2%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	OKC	NBA	BOS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.3	15.3	116.7	97.8	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		105.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	15.8	15.8	20.3	16.8
OKC	18.0	14.2	16.2	13.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	49	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.21	26	-8	34	14.5	19.7	-5.21	17.0	13.2	3.77
Kendrick Perkins	49	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.32	29	-11	40	14.6	19.5	-4.86	17.1	13.1	4.05
Rajon Rondo	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.26	27	-9	36	15.5	19.3	-3.88	16.7	12.9	3.73
Ray Allen	60	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	-9	36	15.8	18.8	-2.98	16.8	12.2	4.59
Paul Pierce	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.24	24	-6	30	15.6	19.2	-3.58	15.7	14.5	1.20
Marquis Daniels	35	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	20	-22	18.6	15.7	2.92	13.4	16.5	-3.12
Brian Scalabrine	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	20	-22	20.4	15.3	5.14	13.2	16.2	-2.96
J.R. Giddens	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	25	-32	19.2	16.3	2.85	13.4	15.7	-2.32
Lester Hudson	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	24	-30	18.3	16.7	1.64	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Rasheed Wallace	33	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	23	-28	19.9	15.1	4.79	13.5	16.2	-2.70
Eddie House	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.22	-9	27	-36	20.0	15.2	4.76	12.5	16.8	-4.36
Shelden Williams	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.29	-12	30	-42	18.1	16.4	1.65	12.6	16.3	-3.72

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-24	30	14.7	15.4	-0.71	20.0	16.4	3.59
DJ White	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-24	30	14.7	15.4	-0.71	20.0	16.4	3.59
James Harden	41	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-21	24	15.5	15.2	0.26	17.8	16.1	1.72
Etan Thomas	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	-10	2	13.9	15.9	-2.01	18.9	16.1	2.83
Mike Wilks	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-13	8	16.5	14.5	1.97	17.5	16.4	1.05
Serge Ibaka	44	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-20	22	15.6	15.1	0.52	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Nick Collison	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-6	-6	16.5	15.0	1.58	16.2	17.0	-0.85
Russell Westbrook	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-5	-8	14.5	16.5	-1.97	16.4	17.5	-1.05
Thabo Sefolosha	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	4	-26	14.6	17.1	-2.53	17.0	16.4	0.68
Jeff Green	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	3	-24	15.4	15.1	0.33	15.9	20.7	-4.78
Kevin Durant	71	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.23	-26	8	-34	16.0	12.6	3.40	16.1	19.7	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
TOR 108, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIL 115, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%