NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	109		Excitement	3.5 [1068]		MVP	Greg Anderson (SAS): +7.1%
San Antonio Spurs	85		Comeback	1.0 [1164]		LVP	Dominique Wilkins (SAS): -23.9%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	14	73%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jaren Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	87%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	8	87%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	8	81%	0.11	8	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.08	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	12	48%	0.01	5	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	17	71%	0.12	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	69%	0.03	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	13	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	-0.07	6	43%	-0.03	7	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.20	-0.04	-0.01	17	26%	-0.14	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	23.7	15.0	27.5	2.0	22.1	117.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.1%

WAS +6.3%

WAS +1.7%

WAS +11.6%

WAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	13.0	16.4	15.6	111.2	86.7	104.4
season	14.8	16.8		104.3	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.8		109.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.5	12.6	11.5	15.7	13.0
SAS	17.5	14.6	17.3	16.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	64	63	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.30	31	-7	38	13.0	13.1	-0.04	16.7	15.7	0.96
Juwan Howard	80	83	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.01	16	8	8	13.1	12.6	0.58	17.3	11.3	5.93
Gheorghe Muresan	40	41	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	5	14	12.9	13.1	-0.18	18.9	14.6	4.29
Rod Strickland	62	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.20	22	2	20	12.0	14.9	-2.94	17.2	14.6	2.59
Chris Webber	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.27	24	0	24	13.0	13.2	-0.24	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Chris Whitney	36	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	22	-20	14.9	12.0	2.94	14.6	17.2	-2.59
Jaren Jackson	27	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	24	-24	13.3	12.9	0.37	17.4	15.9	1.50
Tracy Murray	58	57	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	19	-14	13.1	12.9	0.18	14.6	18.9	-4.29
Ben Wallace	9	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	9.6	13.4	-3.83	11.0	16.8	-5.77
Ashraf Amaya	9	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	9.6	13.4	-3.83	11.0	16.8	-5.77
Harvey Grant	31	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	27	-30	14.7	12.3	2.46	15.1	17.0	-1.92

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-20	16	14.8	16.9	-2.07	12.9	13.1	-0.21
Vernon Maxwell	66	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	-19	14	14.9	19.4	-4.57	13.6	12.0	1.60
Will Perdue	61	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-18	12	14.8	18.9	-4.07	14.1	11.2	2.86
Carl Herrera	42	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-16	8	17.4	15.6	1.83	13.6	12.6	0.97
Jamie Feick	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.14	-13	-11	-2	16.0	16.6	-0.67	12.3	13.6	-1.22
Greg Anderson	38	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.12	-17	-7	-10	18.7	14.8	3.89	11.2	14.1	-2.86
Monty Williams	52	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	0	-24	16.3	16.5	-0.19	12.7	13.5	-0.82
Dominique Wilkins	67	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	-5	-14	18.1	12.6	5.48	12.9	13.2	-0.27
Cory Alexander	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	0	-24	16.4	0.0	16.36	13.0	0.0	13.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
ORL 117, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0	96.4%
MIN 106, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%