NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	3.7 [1130]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +14.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	1.1 [662]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -8.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	16	78%	0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	5	85%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	15	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	14	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	35%	0.01	3	-0.01	5	0%	-0.05
Dominique Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.04	16	62%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	18	49%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	8	22%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	41%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.4	15.7	27.2	2.6	25.3	123.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.4%

MEM -6.8%

DAL +1.7%

DAL +8.1%

DAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.5	117.8	101.1	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		108.5	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	16.3	15.2	18.5	16.2
MEM	17.0	15.0	16.9	14.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	54	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.13	26	-11	37	16.7	15.6	1.15	16.2	15.1	1.12
DeShawn Stevenson	40	39	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-1	17	16.2	16.3	-0.04	16.3	15.3	0.97
Tyson Chandler	43	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	2	11	15.2	17.2	-2.07	16.7	14.8	1.96
Shawn Marion	65	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.05	12	3	9	15.3	18.6	-3.32	16.2	14.6	1.60
Jason Kidd	48	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	7	1	15.2	17.4	-2.18	16.9	14.3	2.60
Jason Terry	58	59	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	8	-1	17.0	14.9	2.13	15.1	17.0	-1.85
Jose Juan Barea	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	14	-13	17.3	15.2	2.10	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Brendan Haywood	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	10	-5	17.0	15.4	1.60	14.8	16.6	-1.79
Brian Cardinal	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	16	-17	16.1	16.4	-0.25	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Steve Novak	4	3	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	16	-17	19.7	16.1	3.67	8.3	16.0	-7.68
Dominique Jones	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	21.5	16.1	5.37	12.0	15.8	-3.80
Ian Mahinmi	8	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	23	-31	14.4	16.4	-2.05	15.3	15.8	-0.45

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	12.0	15.8	-3.80	21.5	16.1	5.37
Sam Young	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-14	13	15.0	15.9	-0.86	18.1	16.0	2.10
Hasheem Thabeet	9	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-17	19	16.4	15.7	0.77	17.2	16.1	1.07
Tony Allen	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-10	5	17.6	15.3	2.25	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Acie Law	14	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-15	15	14.6	16.0	-1.32	18.2	15.7	2.47
Xavier Henry	35	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-11	7	15.1	16.1	-1.00	17.0	15.7	1.31
Marc Gasol	59	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-10	5	15.6	16.0	-0.37	16.3	16.2	0.15
O.J. Mayo	57	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	0	-15	15.5	16.1	-0.58	16.0	16.7	-0.68
Mike Conley	73	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.07	-13	-2	-11	15.9	14.9	1.00	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Zach Randolph	67	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-3	-9	16.0	15.0	0.96	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Darrell Arthur	31	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	15.9	15.7	0.18	15.8	16.5	-0.77
Rudy Gay	75	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-1	-13	15.7	16.0	-0.29	15.9	17.7	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 109, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DAL 99, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
HOU 86, VAN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%