NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	3.6 [657]		MVP	Anthony Miller (HOU): +4.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	74		Comeback	1.0 [624]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -17.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	16	50%	0.06	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Dickerson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	12	46%	0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	8	61%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.03	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	20	44%	-0.04	6	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.20	-0.02	-0.05	9	24%	-0.09	5	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	26.8	17.0	27.2	2.5	31.4	129.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.4%

HOU +3.2%

HOU +6.5%

HOU +2.2%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	VAN	NBA	HOU	VAN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.8	90.5	78.7	99.6
season	16.0	16.4		103.1	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		105.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.1	17.3	11.5	19.2	15.0
VAN	15.1	15.5	17.6	13.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	87	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	0	12	15.2	13.6	1.55	15.2	17.4	-2.22
Michael Dickerson	39	38	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-7	26	12.5	16.8	-4.29	17.3	14.2	3.11
Hakeem Olajuwon	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	3	6	15.6	14.0	1.52	16.0	14.4	1.61
Othella Harrington	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-3	18	14.1	18.3	-4.20	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Brent Price	61	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-1	14	14.7	15.7	-0.99	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Bryce Drew	34	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	13	-14	15.7	14.7	0.99	16.0	15.1	0.91
Anthony Miller	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	11	-10	14.2	15.5	-1.27	15.1	15.6	-0.57
Matt Bullard	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	13	-14	16.9	14.2	2.72	16.1	15.1	0.93
Cuttino Mobley	56	56	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	19	-26	16.8	12.5	4.29	14.2	17.3	-3.11

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	16	16	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-21	30	11.6	16.2	-4.59	17.6	14.5	3.03
Felipe Lopez	41	43	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.20	9	-21	30	12.8	17.5	-4.75	16.3	14.0	2.34
DeJuan Wheat	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-17	22	17.0	14.9	2.18	15.7	14.8	0.92
Doug West	40	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-14	16	14.7	16.0	-1.24	16.6	14.0	2.63
Cherokee Parks	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-6	0	16.9	15.0	1.92	14.2	15.3	-1.03
Tony Massenburg	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-7	2	14.6	16.4	-1.85	15.5	14.5	1.05
Bryant Reeves	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-2	-8	16.6	14.3	2.30	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Michael Smith	36	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	4	-20	17.2	14.4	2.80	13.5	16.0	-2.55
Mike Bibby	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	5	-22	14.9	17.0	-2.18	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Sam Mack	42	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	4	-20	17.7	13.6	4.16	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	3	-18	15.4	15.7	-0.26	14.4	19.6	-5.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIA 101, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0	95.8%
HOU 95, BOS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%