NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	3.8 [1035]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +12.3%
Boston Celtics	80		Comeback	1.0 [573]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -15.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	14	70%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	10	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	15	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	5	67%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	-0.01	-0.07	11	47%	-0.01	7	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.01	0.10	11	77%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	42%	-0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	10	18%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	27.2	15.4	25.3	2.7	27.6	124.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.6%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +4.0%

BOS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	15.0	15.7	106.7	89.9	100.5
season	16.5	14.4		98.8	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.1	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.8	18.5	16.9	17.2	17.4
BOS	17.5	12.8	14.4	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	72	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.02	22	-7	29	17.0	18.8	-1.80	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Cuttino Mobley	71	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	1	13	17.7	16.0	1.72	15.2	14.1	1.15
Jim Jackson	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	3	9	17.3	17.8	-0.56	15.0	15.0	-0.01
Steve Francis	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	8	-1	17.2	18.1	-0.85	14.5	16.9	-2.41
Scott Padgett	46	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	9	-3	17.7	17.0	0.63	15.3	14.7	0.56
Maurice Taylor	60	60	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	12	-9	17.5	17.0	0.55	15.2	14.6	0.55
Mike Wilks	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	7	1	18.1	17.2	0.85	16.9	14.5	2.41
Bostjan Nachbar	35	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	12	-9	16.9	17.7	-0.80	14.1	15.6	-1.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Hunter	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	13.3	15.2	-1.91	17.6	17.3	0.29
Chris Mihm	29	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-19	23	15.8	14.6	1.14	17.2	17.5	-0.27
Jumaine Jones	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-14	13	18.2	14.4	3.71	16.5	17.5	-1.06
Marcus Banks	41	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-14	13	15.0	15.0	-0.02	16.5	18.0	-1.52
Ricky Davis	62	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-13	11	14.8	15.3	-0.49	16.9	18.5	-1.65
Jiri Welsch	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	13.8	16.6	-2.84	18.0	16.6	1.38
Mike James	48	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.03	-14	-1	-13	15.0	15.0	0.02	18.0	16.5	1.52
Mark Blount	65	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.05	-16	1	-17	14.3	16.7	-2.41	17.7	16.4	1.34
Paul Pierce	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	3	-21	15.6	13.2	2.39	17.4	17.3	0.07
Walter McCarty	57	57	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.06	-21	6	-27	15.5	14.1	1.40	17.2	17.6	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 108, VAN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
HOU 103, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%
SEA 109, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	95.7%