NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	108		Excitement	4.3 [916]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (VAN): +10.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.0 [630]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -8.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	22	62%	0.17	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	10	83%	0.09	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Craig Ehlo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Greg Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	55%	0.05	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	17	71%	0.15	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	8	70%	0.01	3	-0.06	11	82%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	25.0	15.7	26.3	2.4	30.3	126.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +14.2%

SEA +11.6%

SEA +3.5%

SEA +20.3%

SEA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	VAN	NBA	SEA	VAN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.6	114.9	97.9	104.4
season	14.9	16.3		108.9	97.9
opponent	15.5	16.2		109.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.0	14.1	13.5	17.5	14.8
VAN	16.5	15.9	15.2	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	77	80	0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-7	28	14.0	18.2	-4.22	15.5	15.5	0.04
Detlef Schrempf	78	80	0.43	0.08	0.35	-0.01	15	-1	16	14.2	17.6	-3.36	15.5	15.5	0.04
Shawn Kemp	65	67	0.36	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	6	2	14.4	15.7	-1.27	16.6	13.1	3.48
Hersey Hawkins	60	60	0.34	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	0	14	13.7	16.7	-3.02	16.1	14.6	1.52
Jim McIlvaine	45	46	0.24	0.27	-0.02	-0.02	9	5	4	13.0	16.4	-3.32	16.8	14.4	2.40
Larry Stewart	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.12	4	10	-6	16.5	13.2	3.29	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Sam Perkins	33	34	0.16	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	12	-10	16.6	13.8	2.87	13.3	16.8	-3.51
Craig Ehlo	18	18	0.15	0.36	-0.21	0.00	5	9	-4	16.9	14.3	2.68	17.2	15.1	2.08
David Wingate	28	30	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.15	-1	15	-16	16.6	14.0	2.61	13.7	16.3	-2.62
Eric Snow	17	16	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	21	-28	18.2	14.0	4.22	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Greg Graham	3	2	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.00	0	14	-14	9.7	14.9	-5.28	9.5	15.7	-6.16

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	58	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-19	24	14.1	17.7	-3.61	14.9	14.6	0.30
Blue Edwards	45	43	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-9	4	15.3	15.7	-0.46	13.6	15.8	-2.25
Roy Rogers	45	43	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-13	12	14.1	16.8	-2.63	15.2	14.5	0.71
George Lynch	71	71	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.29	2	-16	18	15.6	15.3	0.34	15.1	13.8	1.26
Anthony Peeler	82	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.2	17.6	-2.47	14.3	17.3	-2.96
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	58	58	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	0.02	-15	1	-16	15.9	14.9	1.01	15.9	13.0	2.83
Lee Mayberry	52	52	-0.64	0.13	-0.77	0.01	-22	8	-30	17.7	13.0	4.72	15.4	14.0	1.32
Bryant Reeves	69	67	-0.64	0.13	-0.77	0.04	-23	9	-32	16.2	13.9	2.29	14.0	16.6	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, BOS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
WAS 97, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	95.6%
SAS 74, IND 55	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.6%