NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	4.0 [971]		MVP	Brent Price (HOU): +9.8%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	1.0 [509]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -12.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	55%	0.00	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Charles Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	54%	0.03	3	-0.06	11	73%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	6	36%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	0.06	23	49%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	48%	-0.05	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	47.5	1.8	25.6	17.7	33.3	2.4	35.6	164.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +28.8%

HOU +15.4%

HOU +4.0%

HOU +4.4%

UTA -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.6	113.2	98.9	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.5	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.2		102.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	13.5	13.9	20.7	15.6
UTA	17.5	17.3	14.9	14.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	15.0	16.7	-1.69	17.1	14.2	2.83
Clyde Drexler	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	1	11	16.2	13.7	2.50	14.9	19.9	-4.94
Hakeem Olajuwon	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	4	5	16.0	14.2	1.79	15.0	19.7	-4.67
Matt Maloney	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	3	7	16.0	14.6	1.48	15.5	17.5	-2.02
Mario Elie	58	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	2	9	15.6	15.6	0.03	16.1	15.9	0.18
Matt Bullard	27	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	2	9	14.8	15.9	-1.11	17.1	15.6	1.52
Charles Barkley	51	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	15.9	15.2	0.75	16.5	15.5	1.03
Brent Price	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	10	-7	14.6	16.0	-1.48	17.5	15.5	2.02
Eddie Johnson	28	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	18	-23	14.5	16.1	-1.53	17.1	15.6	1.54
Charles Jones	0	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	16	-19	0.0	15.6	-15.59	23.0	16.0	7.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Morris	9	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-6	-1	13.8	16.3	-2.53	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Greg Ostertag	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-15	17	18.0	15.3	2.78	17.2	14.9	2.29
Adam Keefe	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-8	3	16.7	15.7	0.99	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Shandon Anderson	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-12	11	17.0	15.6	1.42	16.7	15.1	1.57
Greg Foster	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-5	-3	16.7	15.6	1.12	14.2	16.4	-2.22
Howard Eisley	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	0	-13	18.3	15.1	3.24	14.6	16.0	-1.48
Antoine Carr	27	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	1	-15	17.3	15.5	1.71	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Bryon Russell	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-9	5	15.5	17.5	-1.97	15.9	14.8	1.05
John Stockton	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-13	13	15.1	18.3	-3.24	16.0	14.6	1.48
Karl Malone	80	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-10	7	15.2	22.5	-7.38	15.9	13.4	2.54
Jeff Hornacek	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-1	-11	15.6	17.0	-1.42	15.1	16.7	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	96.3%
CHA 92, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
PHX 106, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%