NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	3.5 [1059]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +18.6%
New Jersey Nets	73		Comeback	1.0 [1102]		LVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): -11.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.03	13	84%	0.21	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	17	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	15	40%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	17%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	17	47%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	28.2	15.4	23.5	1.7	28.4	124.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.4%

NJN -1.1%

DAL +8.0%

NJN -3.2%

NJN -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	16.9	15.5	108.8	80.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.5		104.6	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.5	14.9	16.2	15.5	14.7
NJN	16.8	17.2	17.3	16.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	0	26	14.0	16.6	-2.58	17.8	14.5	3.35
Dirk Nowitzki	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.36	28	-2	30	14.5	15.2	-0.71	17.1	16.5	0.63
Howard Eisley	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	10	6	14.6	14.9	-0.27	16.8	17.2	-0.46
Steve Nash	48	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.41	26	0	26	14.3	15.2	-0.83	18.7	14.6	4.15
Christian Laettner	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	15	-4	14.9	14.5	0.37	17.3	16.6	0.72
Hubert Davis	57	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	13	0	15.0	14.2	0.83	16.4	17.7	-1.30
Shawn Bradley	35	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.38	19	7	12	14.1	15.1	-1.09	17.9	16.3	1.60
Loy Vaught	17	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	28	-30	15.8	14.5	1.28	17.5	16.8	0.67
Eduardo Najera	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	26	-26	16.3	14.2	2.13	14.3	17.8	-3.50
Mark Bryant	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	30	-34	16.1	14.5	1.55	11.8	17.6	-5.76
Donnell Harvey	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	14.3	14.8	-0.48	14.8	17.2	-2.39
Courtney Alexander	18	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	29	-32	15.6	14.5	1.10	13.5	17.7	-4.15

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Soumaila Samake	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-26	26	14.8	17.2	-2.39	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Kevin Ollie	21	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-26	26	16.5	17.0	-0.52	14.9	14.7	0.19
Jim McIlvaine	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-17	8	18.1	16.3	1.73	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Evan Eschmeyer	19	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-21	16	15.1	17.4	-2.30	12.5	15.3	-2.78
Johnny Newman	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.25	-15	-11	-4	17.2	16.7	0.50	15.3	14.1	1.19
Stephen Jackson	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	-7	-12	16.7	17.5	-0.73	14.9	14.2	0.68
Aaron Williams	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-7	-12	18.1	15.7	2.41	13.9	15.6	-1.69
Kenyon Martin	69	69	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.27	-21	-5	-16	17.2	16.0	1.22	15.4	12.6	2.81
Sherman Douglas	70	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	0	-26	17.0	16.5	0.52	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Lucious Harris	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-10	-6	16.2	20.7	-4.48	14.7	14.6	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MEM 99, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
HOU 100, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%