NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	3.1 [1155]		MVP	James Posey (BOS): +10.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	76		Comeback	1.1 [1069]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -9.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	0.01	0.09	8	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.00	9	71%	0.13	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	63%	0.05	3	-0.00	11	73%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	11	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	16	39%	-0.04	1	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	12	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.0	28.2	15.7	27.1	2.5	33.5	131.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.0%

BOS +2.3%

LAC -3.0%

BOS +5.7%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	17.7	15.4	116.9	83.5	105.7
season	15.6	15.6		108.0	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.9		106.8	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.4	13.9	15.4	15.2	14.2
LAC	19.4	18.0	17.4	16.1	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	60	63	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	3	22	14.1	14.4	-0.33	18.3	16.4	1.89
Kevin Garnett	43	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	7	14	12.9	15.5	-2.55	18.7	16.7	1.98
Rajon Rondo	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	11	6	13.3	15.4	-2.09	18.2	17.2	0.98
Kendrick Perkins	37	39	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.20	20	8	12	13.8	14.6	-0.80	19.2	16.7	2.48
Paul Pierce	49	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	10	8	12.8	15.9	-3.09	18.6	16.6	2.07
Tony Allen	50	49	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	19	-10	15.4	12.7	2.68	16.9	18.7	-1.77
James Posey	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	25	-22	15.0	13.6	1.33	17.8	17.7	0.19
Eddie House	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.21	11	17	-6	15.4	13.3	2.09	17.2	18.2	-0.98
Leon Powe	40	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	21	-14	15.9	12.8	3.09	16.2	18.9	-2.72
Glen Davis	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	23	-18	13.0	14.6	-1.56	15.4	18.3	-2.93
Gabe Pruitt	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	24	-20	15.1	14.0	1.05	15.5	18.3	-2.86

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.29	-14	-14	0	16.7	18.5	-1.85	14.8	13.8	1.03
Josh Powell	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.36	-17	-11	-6	16.0	18.9	-2.97	14.8	13.8	0.99
Quinton Ross	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	-15	2	17.1	18.4	-1.36	14.6	13.9	0.67
Al Thornton	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.26	-15	-13	-2	16.8	19.1	-2.32	14.4	14.0	0.41
Aaron Williams	39	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-13	-2	18.1	17.4	0.69	13.5	14.7	-1.26
Brevin Knight	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-14	0	18.5	16.7	1.85	13.8	14.8	-1.03
Tim Thomas	64	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-14	0	18.4	16.2	2.15	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Corey Maggette	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-9	-10	18.7	15.8	2.84	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Cuttino Mobley	62	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.11	-19	-9	-10	18.3	16.6	1.69	14.2	14.3	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 114, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 104, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DAL 99, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%