NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	4.1 [1021]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +18.9%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	1.1 [983]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -11.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.02	0.02	19	66%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kyrie Irving	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	19	62%	0.15	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	73%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	15	58%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	14	56%	0.06	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.07
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	10	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	16	43%	-0.07	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	33.5	16.8	26.2	2.3	28.3	134.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.4%

CLE +11.1%

CLE +10.9%

CLE +4.4%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	14.9	120.0	114.0	105.1
season	15.8	15.0		110.3	104.9
opponent	15.1	14.9		105.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.8	14.7	14.2	16.3	15.6
DET	16.5	13.5	15.2	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-8	24	14.9	17.1	-2.22	14.7	15.6	-0.84
LeBron James	71	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-11	30	15.3	16.5	-1.16	15.2	14.5	0.67
Kevin Love	72	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	-9	26	15.7	15.5	0.20	15.1	14.6	0.51
Kyrie Irving	65	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-5	18	15.2	16.6	-1.46	15.8	13.3	2.52
J.R. Smith	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-6	20	15.3	16.3	-0.98	15.2	14.4	0.80
Iman Shumpert	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	9	-10	16.8	15.1	1.67	15.1	15.0	0.15
Timofey Mozgov	35	34	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	14	-20	17.3	14.7	2.57	15.6	14.7	0.88
Richard Jefferson	25	23	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.32	-9	17	-26	16.0	15.5	0.55	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Matthew Dellavedova	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.32	-9	17	-26	15.7	15.6	0.11	13.9	15.9	-2.08
James Jones	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	17.0	15.6	1.43	10.0	15.2	-5.17
Jared Cunningham	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	17.0	15.6	1.43	10.0	15.2	-5.17

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	5	5	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-12	16	13.4	15.1	-1.69	13.8	15.7	-1.93
Darrun Hilliard	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	0.0	15.0	-15.00	5.0	15.7	-10.74
Aron Baynes	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-17	26	14.6	15.1	-0.49	16.5	15.4	1.19
Brandon Jennings	29	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-14	20	14.7	15.1	-0.40	16.9	15.0	1.84
Ersan Ilyasova	51	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	16.5	13.2	3.21	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Stanley Johnson	58	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-15	22	14.3	16.1	-1.79	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Anthony Tolliver	42	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-5	2	13.2	16.5	-3.21	15.8	15.5	0.35
Marcus Morris	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	3	-14	15.7	13.7	1.99	16.1	14.9	1.15
Reggie Jackson	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	6	-20	15.1	14.7	0.40	15.0	16.9	-1.84
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	69	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.03	-14	6	-20	14.9	15.2	-0.22	15.6	15.8	-0.23
Andre Drummond	67	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.10	-21	13	-34	15.2	14.4	0.85	15.5	16.0	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
PHX 123, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DET 117, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%