NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	123		Excitement	3.6 [1046]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +18.6%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.0 [1097]		LVP	Rodrick Rhodes (HOU): -14.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.03	17	79%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	21	68%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
George McCloud	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	29%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	11	48%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	0.00	0.04	9	56%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	70%	0.08	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Charles Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Stephens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	31%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	82%	0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	48%	-0.03	2	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	15	32%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.25	-0.01	-0.12	15	26%	-0.06	4	-0.08	8	37%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	25.6	25.3	25.0	1.8	27.0	130.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.8%

HOU -1.2%

PHX +0.3%

PHX +12.6%

PHX +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.6	126.8	93.9	102.5
season	15.0	15.7		105.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.7	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	14.9	15.8	14.8	15.2
HOU	12.3	17.0	13.7	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	74	76	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.27	30	0	30	15.0	16.0	-1.00	14.4	13.4	1.00
Clifford Robinson	69	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	10	10	15.8	13.6	2.18	14.7	13.2	1.52
Kevin Johnson	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	14	2	14.1	16.1	-1.94	14.2	14.2	-0.08
George McCloud	63	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	16	-2	15.7	14.3	1.43	13.5	15.5	-1.94
Mark Bryant	30	32	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.37	23	7	16	13.5	16.0	-2.50	16.4	13.2	3.21
Antonio McDyess	49	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	23	-16	15.8	14.6	1.17	14.3	14.1	0.28
Steve Nash	56	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.27	16	14	2	15.8	14.3	1.48	14.2	14.2	-0.07
Dennis Scott	46	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.28	13	17	-4	15.1	15.3	-0.12	15.1	13.4	1.76
Hot Rod Williams	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	25	-20	14.7	15.3	-0.57	12.1	14.7	-2.66
Horacio Llamas	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	26	-22	14.3	15.4	-1.09	11.9	14.7	-2.76
Marko Milic	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	15.4	15.1	0.31	12.1	14.7	-2.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Jones	13	14	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-31	32	13.5	14.3	-0.76	16.6	15.0	1.61
Joe Stephens	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-26	22	11.9	14.7	-2.76	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Emanual Davis	43	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	-19	8	14.9	13.7	1.16	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Eddie Johnson	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.22	-13	-17	4	17.6	12.7	4.88	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Mario Elie	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-24	18	14.5	14.1	0.42	16.7	14.4	2.28
Matt Bullard	66	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.44	-25	-5	-20	13.6	15.4	-1.83	14.2	17.2	-3.06
Othella Harrington	54	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-16	2	15.7	12.4	3.39	15.9	14.4	1.44
Rodrick Rhodes	66	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.37	-24	-6	-18	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.4	16.7	-2.28
Kevin Willis	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-11	-8	13.7	14.9	-1.16	15.4	14.9	0.47
Matt Maloney	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-11	-8	13.7	14.9	-1.16	15.4	14.9	0.47
Clyde Drexler	60	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-14	-2	13.1	15.9	-2.84	15.5	14.7	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
NOH 89, IND 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
LAL 99, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%