NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	89		Excitement	3.7 [1066]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NOH): +6.4%
Indiana Pacers	75		Comeback	1.2 [496]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -15.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	100%	0.10	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	20	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	19	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	11	32%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	13	35%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.22	-0.00	-0.07	10	36%	-0.10	4	-0.05	16	69%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	29.3	0.2	25.1	2.4	26.7	114.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +40.5%

IND -5.8%

NOH +13.7%

NOH +1.2%

NOH +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	IND	NBA	NOH	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.7	97.8	83.3	100.5
season	16.0	16.7		99.3	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		94.7	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.3	14.5	16.2	18.0	15.9
IND	15.3	16.2	17.3	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.22	25	-11	36	14.9	19.5	-4.59	16.9	12.2	4.66
P.J. Brown	55	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-2	18	15.0	17.4	-2.43	17.2	13.9	3.28
Baron Davis	74	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	2	10	15.8	16.4	-0.57	16.2	14.7	1.51
Robert Traylor	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	3	8	15.4	16.4	-0.96	14.9	16.7	-1.78
Jamal Mashburn	63	62	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	2	10	15.3	17.3	-1.99	15.8	16.0	-0.13
George Lynch	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	10	-6	17.4	14.9	2.58	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Jamaal Magloire	44	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	10	-6	16.7	15.3	1.38	16.7	15.0	1.67
David West	41	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	17	-20	17.0	15.1	1.92	14.1	17.3	-3.11
Stacey Augmon	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	15	-16	16.4	15.8	0.58	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Steven Smith	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	22.7	15.6	7.12	10.7	16.1	-5.37
Bryce Drew	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	22.7	15.6	7.12	10.7	16.1	-5.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	14.0	16.1	-2.11	19.1	15.6	3.54
Jonathan Bender	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	14.0	16.1	-2.11	19.1	15.6	3.54
Scot Pollard	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-12	10	14.3	16.4	-2.11	19.6	14.6	5.04
Jamaal Tinsley	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-12	10	16.3	15.5	0.82	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Jeff Foster	22	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-4	-6	18.1	15.1	2.99	13.7	16.7	-2.92
Al Harrington	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-4	-6	16.2	15.4	0.81	14.9	17.6	-2.64
Fred Jones	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-6	-2	13.9	17.0	-3.11	16.0	15.9	0.08
Austin Croshere	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-11	8	15.0	16.3	-1.37	17.2	15.3	1.84
Reggie Miller	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-8	2	17.0	13.9	3.11	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Metta World Peace	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	15.3	16.8	-1.50	16.2	15.4	0.83
Anthony Johnson	36	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.16	-16	2	-18	15.9	15.9	0.02	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Jermaine O'Neal	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	16.6	13.6	2.95	14.9	19.4	-4.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
OKC 100, NOH 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ORL 89, NJN 81	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%