inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 100 Excitement3.1 [1182] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +14.3%
New Orleans Hornets 79 Comeback1.1 [1241] LVPRyan Anderson (NOH): -12.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.140,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.02-0.021367%0.161-0.024100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.00683%0.0900.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.011358%0.0700.00786%0.03
Thabo Sefolosha0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.01567%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Nick Collison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.04875%0.0400.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02167%0.0000.0010%-0.00
Eric Maynor0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02530%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0020.001100%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.01731%-0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Russell Westbrook-0.090,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.000.021850%0.025-0.1000%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.02773%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.01567%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02967%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01337%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03340%0.0010.00450%0.00
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.031233%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.07926%-0.012-0.021100%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.05520%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.000.02831%-0.063-0.0500%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.000.091750%-0.063-0.06875%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.324.415.522.31.728.0121.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +40.0%
OKC +3.5%
NOH -1.6%
OKC +8.5%
NOH -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCNOHNBAOKCNOHNBA
this game14.917.115.4111.187.8104.1
season14.816.3109.3103.9
opponent15.615.5108.1100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.713.212.818.314.9
NOH16.316.219.916.017.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant61600.420.080.34-0.111831514.116.6-2.5218.015.22.83
Nick Collison35380.340.160.19-0.3323-22513.615.7-2.1016.717.3-0.61
Kevin Martin53530.300.200.11-0.201741313.916.4-2.4516.218.4-2.24
Thabo Sefolosha52540.290.210.07-0.15156914.415.6-1.1617.316.70.61
Russell Westbrook56570.290.210.07-0.181651114.216.1-1.9917.716.01.77
Eric Maynor37370.260.240.010.05714-716.014.21.8516.717.4-0.66
Hasheem Thabeet35350.210.29-0.070.07516-1116.413.92.4815.917.8-1.92
Kendrick Perkins45430.200.30-0.110.08417-1314.715.1-0.4017.716.61.12
Serge Ibaka43430.190.31-0.12-0.16129314.315.4-1.1217.616.60.94
DeAndre Liggins11100.000.50-0.500.12-425-2919.614.35.3815.917.2-1.34
Reggie Jackson11100.000.50-0.500.12-425-2919.614.35.3815.917.2-1.34
Perry Jones11100.000.50-0.500.12-425-2919.614.35.3815.917.2-1.34

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Xavier Henry1818-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-191715.717.4-1.7819.113.95.18
Al-Farouq Aminu4546-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-171317.616.51.1114.115.7-1.60
Greivis Vasquez5555-0.17-0.330.17-0.232-232517.316.80.4315.813.62.19
Austin Rivers4141-0.19-0.310.120.16-12-9-315.718.3-2.6315.614.31.28
Darius Miller3534-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-10-116.517.5-1.0315.114.80.28
Jason Smith2222-0.21-0.290.080.41-210-2115.517.6-2.0413.215.5-2.29
Lance Thomas3536-0.22-0.280.060.07-10-11115.718.0-2.2515.514.50.98
Robin Lopez5252-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-12318.115.72.3914.315.7-1.38
Roger Mason Jr.4949-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-9-12318.315.72.6314.315.6-1.28
Ryan Anderson6362-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.16-6-15917.915.12.7715.014.80.13
Brian Roberts3535-0.33-0.17-0.170.34-232-2516.817.3-0.4313.615.8-2.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 89, IND 750.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
OKC 110, DET 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
MIL 113, BKN 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%