NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	3.3 [1153]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +19.4%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	1.1 [848]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -6.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.01	8	91%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	6	94%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Abrines	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	13	46%	0.03	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	9	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	18	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	17	49%	0.06	5	-0.10	3	67%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	18	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	-0.10	12	25%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	28.1	14.7	29.2	2.3	25.6	124.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +43.5%

OKC +4.8%

DET -3.3%

OKC +4.4%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DET	NBA	OKC	DET	NBA
this game	11.7	16.2	14.3	106.8	80.6	109.3
season	12.9	15.3		108.9	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.9		109.0	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	10.7	12.2	12.9	11.2	11.7
DET	17.0	17.8	15.9	14.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.30	24	3	21	12.2	11.1	1.13	16.5	15.8	0.67
Jerami Grant	49	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.35	25	2	23	12.5	11.0	1.45	16.4	16.1	0.35
Paul George	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.32	24	3	21	11.9	11.4	0.55	16.5	15.8	0.66
Steven Adams	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.26	21	6	15	12.4	11.0	1.36	17.4	14.9	2.50
Dennis Schroder	55	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.41	25	2	23	11.1	12.5	-1.41	16.8	15.7	1.07
Terrance Ferguson	54	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.21	16	11	5	12.4	10.9	1.51	16.9	15.4	1.44
Nerlens Noel	48	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	21	-15	11.0	12.4	-1.36	14.9	17.4	-2.50
Patrick Patterson	41	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.18	10	17	-7	10.8	12.4	-1.57	17.2	15.6	1.56
Alex Abrines	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	28	-29	11.2	12.0	-0.78	15.5	16.7	-1.12
Deonte Burton	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	32	-37	11.0	11.9	-0.89	14.4	16.6	-2.23
Raymond Felton	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	11.1	11.9	-0.80	13.9	16.7	-2.72
Abdel Nader	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	35	-43	11.8	11.7	0.14	12.3	16.7	-4.41

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-30	33	14.2	16.7	-2.48	11.1	11.9	-0.72
Jose Calderon	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-30	33	14.2	16.7	-2.48	11.1	11.9	-0.72
Reggie Bullock	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-22	17	17.0	16.2	0.82	12.0	11.7	0.29
Luke Kennard	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-30	33	13.4	17.4	-3.97	11.4	11.9	-0.51
Bruce Brown	46	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.15	-8	-19	11	14.4	17.7	-3.33	11.2	12.1	-0.88
Zaza Pachulia	28	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.17	-9	-18	9	18.9	15.3	3.60	11.0	12.0	-1.01
Ish Smith	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.36	-19	-8	-11	15.1	17.2	-2.15	11.3	12.1	-0.71
Stanley Johnson	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.31	-18	-9	-9	16.0	16.3	-0.34	11.0	12.1	-1.10
Glenn Robinson III	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-17	7	16.8	15.2	1.64	11.8	11.6	0.27
Langston Galloway	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-13	-1	17.8	14.7	3.08	12.1	11.3	0.81
Blake Griffin	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.28	-22	-5	-17	16.3	16.1	0.29	11.9	11.4	0.55
Reggie Jackson	58	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	-8	-11	17.6	14.5	3.10	12.4	10.9	1.57
Andre Drummond	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	-7	-13	16.7	15.8	0.97	12.5	11.1	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 100, NOH 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 93, ATL 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
NOH 89, IND 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%