NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	89		Excitement	3.7 [648]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +13.0%
New Jersey Nets	81		Comeback	1.2 [459]		LVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): -17.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.01	-0.05	11	62%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	66%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Schayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	9	36%	-0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	4	30%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	-0.05	20	40%	-0.07	3	-0.04	12	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	9	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	15	49%	-0.00	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.09	9	67%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.21	-0.00	-0.08	10	9%	-0.11	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	0.01	17	47%	-0.02	6	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	0.00	10	27%	-0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	28.2	15.3	22.7	2.4	28.5	127.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.8%

NJN -1.2%

NJN -11.7%

ORL +27.2%

ORL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.1	15.8	97.8	89.0	99.6
season	16.1	15.0		98.0	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.6	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.6	16.1	15.9	18.5	16.6
NJN	15.7	14.5	19.4	11.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	4	0	16.4	18.0	-1.59	14.7	17.8	-3.13
Nick Anderson	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	1	6	16.9	15.4	1.42	15.1	14.8	0.28
Anfernee Hardaway	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	16.6	16.5	0.15	14.0	22.9	-8.92
Ike Austin	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	3	2	17.4	15.2	2.20	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Matt Harpring	32	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	-1	10	15.7	17.1	-1.33	15.7	14.7	1.01
Bo Outlaw	62	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	4	0	17.2	15.3	1.87	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Darrell Armstrong	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.24	-2	10	-12	16.5	16.7	-0.14	15.3	14.9	0.39
Michael Doleac	7	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	4	0	13.3	16.9	-3.57	18.6	14.7	3.90
Dominique Wilkins	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	15.2	16.7	-1.46	20.8	14.7	6.07
Dan Schayes	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	13.9	16.9	-3.04	19.9	14.4	5.51

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	45	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.41	11	-19	30	13.4	16.7	-3.21	16.6	16.6	0.03
Jim McIlvaine	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-7	6	16.9	14.4	2.47	13.9	17.5	-3.63
Scott Burrell	67	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-14	20	14.6	16.5	-1.89	16.4	17.0	-0.57
Earl Boykins	33	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	16.7	14.2	2.51	15.0	17.4	-2.45
Keith Van Horn	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	14.7	15.8	-1.14	17.1	15.4	1.77
Lucious Harris	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.05	-14	6	-20	16.0	14.2	1.78	16.7	16.5	0.16
Chris Gatling	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	2	-12	15.1	15.0	0.03	17.0	16.0	1.02
Jayson Williams	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	2	-12	15.2	14.4	0.75	16.6	16.3	0.30
Kendall Gill	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	3	-14	14.8	15.5	-0.74	17.6	14.9	2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 89, IND 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIL 113, BKN 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
LAC 94, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%