NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	3.8 [1077]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +9.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	74		Comeback	1.0 [668]		LVP	Shane Battier (MEM): -8.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	12	68%	0.17	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.08	9	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	56%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	11	32%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	10	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Noel Felix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	38%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.0	29.0	15.8	25.0	1.8	27.3	123.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.5%

SEA -0.2%

MEM +13.0%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SEA	NBA	MEM	SEA	NBA
this game	19.2	15.5	15.6	119.3	89.2	104.4
season	17.1	15.0		103.5	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		112.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.3	19.5	18.0	20.9	19.2
SEA	16.0	16.5	14.0	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	69	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	4	17	19.1	19.5	-0.41	16.5	10.1	6.38
Shane Battier	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	7	11	19.3	18.6	0.71	16.5	11.7	4.78
Dahntay Jones	61	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	11	3	19.1	19.3	-0.16	14.6	18.0	-3.40
Chucky Atkins	50	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	11	3	18.7	19.9	-1.25	15.9	15.0	0.93
Mike Miller	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	10	5	20.0	18.1	1.90	15.1	16.1	-0.97
Bobby Jackson	33	34	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.15	13	12	1	19.7	18.8	0.90	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Jake Tsakalidis	48	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	17	-9	19.3	18.9	0.42	15.9	15.1	0.81
Lorenzen Wright	13	15	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	19	-13	18.2	19.3	-1.10	15.8	15.5	0.31
Hakim Warrick	18	16	0.01	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	21	-17	20.4	18.8	1.57	12.3	16.3	-4.00
Antonio Burks	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	13.3	19.4	-6.04	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Lawrence Roberts	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	13.3	19.4	-6.04	13.5	15.6	-2.09
Anthony Roberson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	13.3	19.4	-6.04	13.5	15.6	-2.09

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-20	15	15.8	15.5	0.32	19.7	19.0	0.78
Noel Felix	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-19	13	18.9	15.1	3.75	18.6	19.2	-0.63
Robert Swift	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-14	3	17.5	14.5	3.04	17.4	20.1	-2.63
Damien Wilkins	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-14	3	15.4	15.6	-0.22	19.2	19.1	0.05
Earl Watson	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.31	-17	-8	-9	16.5	14.9	1.67	18.5	19.6	-1.01
Johan Petro	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-18	11	14.7	16.7	-1.93	20.2	17.7	2.59
Chris Wilcox	49	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-12	-1	16.1	14.8	1.27	18.8	19.6	-0.77
Ray Allen	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-11	-3	14.6	19.1	-4.42	19.6	17.6	1.97
Rashard Lewis	60	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	-4	-17	15.1	16.7	-1.54	19.2	19.0	0.16
Luke Ridnour	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	-5	-15	15.2	16.6	-1.46	19.1	19.3	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
MIN 95, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 111, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%