NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	86		Excitement	4.4 [969]		MVP	David West (NOH): +3.3%
New Orleans Hornets	75		Comeback	1.4 [415]		LVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): -21.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marko Jaric	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	59%	0.09	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	19	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	14	44%	-0.09	3	-0.04	13	62%	-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.03	0.00	10	14%	-0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.7	27.1	15.5	24.2	1.6	28.4	123.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.3%

NOH -5.2%

LAC +18.2%

NOH -0.3%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.5	98.9	87.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.5		103.0	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.4	15.4	18.0	19.5	16.5
NOH	17.9	19.8	16.2	13.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	73	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-7	25	16.6	16.2	0.39	16.8	16.5	0.31
Shaun Livingston	68	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-5	21	16.2	17.6	-1.33	15.7	20.6	-4.97
Marko Jaric	63	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	0	11	16.0	18.0	-2.07	16.7	17.0	-0.34
Elton Brand	72	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	0	11	17.1	13.7	3.39	16.5	17.9	-1.45
Mikki Moore	41	42	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-3	17	16.4	16.7	-0.28	17.0	16.5	0.43
Zeljko Rebraca	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	9	-7	16.0	17.4	-1.39	16.2	17.7	-1.53
Quinton Ross	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	18	-25	16.8	16.3	0.41	17.5	16.1	1.45
Rick Brunson	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	16	-21	19.2	15.9	3.24	19.6	16.1	3.45
Mamadou N'diaye	9	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	16	-21	15.8	16.6	-0.85	22.6	16.2	6.33

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	32	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-18	25	17.1	16.6	0.49	16.5	16.6	-0.14
Maciej Lampe	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-18	25	17.0	16.6	0.42	16.9	16.3	0.55
Bostjan Nachbar	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-14	17	17.0	16.6	0.41	15.7	17.1	-1.44
Casey Jacobsen	45	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-7	3	18.2	15.1	3.12	16.0	17.2	-1.22
J.R. Smith	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	16.9	16.3	0.64	16.7	16.0	0.69
Dan Dickau	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	0	-11	15.6	20.5	-4.92	16.8	15.9	0.85
Lee Nailon	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	3	-17	16.6	17.0	-0.41	17.1	15.7	1.44
P.J. Brown	50	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.08	-18	7	-25	16.6	17.0	-0.42	16.3	16.9	-0.55
Jackson Vroman	54	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	7	-25	16.6	17.1	-0.49	16.6	16.5	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CHA 119, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DEN 134, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%