NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	134		Excitement	4.3 [981]		MVP	Will Barton (DEN): +20.6%
LA Clippers	115		Comeback	1.1 [946]		LVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): -3.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.28	0.01	0.08	15	91%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	14	70%	0.19	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	8	81%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	10	83%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Malik Beasley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	9	78%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	15	57%	0.05	2	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	19	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.2	36.4	15.6	27.8	1.8	23.6	132.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +55.0%

LAC -2.5%

LAC -9.2%

DEN +4.9%

DEN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	14.7	141.1	119.8	107.5
season	14.7	14.2		111.2	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.7	13.1	17.3	15.3	14.8
LAC	16.9	13.6	14.6	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Murray	80	79	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.14	24	-5	29	14.6	15.8	-1.22	16.2	11.7	4.47
Wilson Chandler	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	1	17	16.1	12.6	3.52	16.3	14.1	2.21
Trey Lyles	30	32	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	10	-1	16.4	14.0	2.38	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Will Barton	62	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	9	1	15.4	13.5	1.87	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Nikola Jokic	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	8	3	15.1	13.9	1.23	15.6	14.8	0.85
Paul Millsap	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	6	7	14.4	15.3	-0.91	15.7	14.8	0.88
Mason Plumlee	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.01	5	14	-9	13.1	15.6	-2.48	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Devin Harris	47	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	16	-13	14.1	15.5	-1.39	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Torrey Craig	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	19	-19	11.9	16.3	-4.40	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Malik Beasley	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	21.0	14.6	6.37	12.3	15.5	-3.15
Juancho Hernangomez	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	21.0	14.6	6.37	12.3	15.5	-3.15

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Dekker	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	13.0	15.6	-2.60	18.6	14.5	4.11
C.J. Williams	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	13.0	15.6	-2.60	18.6	14.5	4.11
Montrezl Harrell	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	-13	7	15.0	15.6	-0.58	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Sindarius Thornwell	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-16	13	13.6	16.2	-2.55	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Boban Marjanovic	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-18	17	14.4	15.7	-1.22	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Lou Williams	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-12	5	14.5	17.2	-2.62	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Wesley Johnson	31	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-8	-3	17.1	14.6	2.53	16.2	14.1	2.09
DeAndre Jordan	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-2	-15	15.8	14.3	1.53	15.0	14.2	0.79
Tyrone Wallace	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-6	-7	15.6	15.1	0.40	15.1	14.3	0.77
Austin Rivers	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	0	-19	16.1	12.4	3.69	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Tobias Harris	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	1	-21	15.8	13.9	1.94	14.1	17.0	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
BOS 104, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DEN 109, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0	95.8%