inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 109 Excitement4.1 [1009] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +12.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 105 Comeback1.0 [497] LVPMatt Barnes (MEM): -11.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.120.140.010.031269%0.131-0.011275%-0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.02-0.00775%0.111-0.022100%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07-0.050.02-0.101553%0.125-0.052100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.011055%0.0600.002100%0.01
JaKarr Sampson0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.02686%0.092-0.05250%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02675%0.041-0.0100%0.00
D.J. Augustin0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01769%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Mike Miller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.000,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02736%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Axel Toupane-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.020.02737%-0.042-0.052100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.000.041070%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Jarell Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04469%0.0100.00580%-0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.071638%-0.012-0.00250%-0.01
Xavier Munford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.04853%0.001-0.0310%-0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01744%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Ray McCallum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.00-0.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.040.04-0.020.062057%0.023-0.06683%0.01
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.031044%-0.031-0.02757%-0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.001223%-0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.830.015.426.52.537.2138.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +54.9%
DEN +6.8%
MEM -3.0%
MEM -9.4%
DEN +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game15.814.914.9116.0111.7105.1
season14.915.7104.3103.4
opponent14.814.9106.7107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.314.913.218.915.8
MEM13.716.416.812.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried46480.370.130.25-0.1518-143214.816.7-1.8816.213.42.77
Nikola Jokic53530.340.160.180.2531216.215.20.9615.813.62.24
JaKarr Sampson54560.340.160.18-0.0413-92215.116.6-1.5015.513.81.69
Will Barton66650.310.190.110.39-37-1016.414.41.9413.617.6-3.96
Emmanuel Mudiay60600.270.230.050.36-37-1015.616.0-0.3815.014.60.41
D.J. Augustin46470.240.26-0.010.27-15-616.714.91.8213.216.5-3.32
Gary Harris38380.220.28-0.050.1331215.116.3-1.2316.713.63.12
Axel Toupane26250.200.30-0.100.055-1615.116.1-0.9816.514.32.22
Darrell Arthur46460.130.37-0.240.45-1115-2616.615.01.5712.816.8-4.01
Joffrey Lauvergne35320.070.43-0.370.18-48-1215.615.9-0.3014.115.2-1.15

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Hollins10100.03-0.530.57-0.053-71012.215.2-2.9715.815.80.01
Ray McCallum1615-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-3212.415.3-2.9115.815.80.02
Jarell Martin75-0.07-0.430.370.05-40-413.115.0-1.8515.815.80.01
Lance Stephenson5151-0.09-0.410.31-0.4512-162813.416.6-3.1917.114.22.91
Xavier Munford2122-0.12-0.380.25-0.120-4415.814.61.1716.915.51.41
JaMychal Green5050-0.17-0.330.17-0.377-111814.215.6-1.4316.614.91.74
Vince Carter4746-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.353-71013.516.2-2.7216.315.30.97
Zach Randolph6566-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.383-71014.914.70.2815.516.6-1.12
Jordan Farmar5049-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.18-51-615.414.21.1315.815.80.06
Chris Andersen3233-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-1511-2617.613.44.1614.816.3-1.45
Tony Allen4242-0.41-0.10-0.310.12-1814-3216.913.23.7114.516.8-2.24
Matt Barnes7981-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.28-51-615.213.31.8915.119.8-4.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 112, ORL 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
DEN 134, LAC 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
CHI 108, DET 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%