NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	119		Excitement	4.0 [1035]		MVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): +11.6%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.5 [480]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -10.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.02	0.07	17	69%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Julyan Stone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Paige	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Anigbogu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	7	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	24.4	14.6	21.4	2.4	21.4	108.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.7%

CHA +8.0%

CHA +3.3%

CHA +5.6%

CHA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	15.9	14.7	124.0	94.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		108.7	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.5		106.7	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.8	15.0	13.8	13.6	13.8
IND	17.2	14.4	15.6	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	52	51	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	5	16	13.9	13.6	0.27	15.5	16.3	-0.71
Dwight Howard	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	7	12	13.5	14.1	-0.59	15.8	16.0	-0.12
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	48	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	7	12	13.6	14.0	-0.35	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Marvin Williams	42	42	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	11	4	13.5	14.0	-0.58	16.0	15.8	0.20
Nicolas Batum	42	42	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	11	4	13.5	14.0	-0.58	16.0	15.8	0.20
Frank Kaminsky	54	56	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.22	11	15	-4	14.0	13.5	0.58	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Jeremy Lamb	48	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	22	-18	13.9	13.7	0.23	16.0	15.8	0.19
Malik Monk	48	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.17	7	19	-12	14.0	13.6	0.35	16.2	15.6	0.64
Willy Hernangomez	41	43	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.20	7	19	-12	14.1	13.5	0.59	16.0	15.8	0.12
Marcus Paige	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	19	-12	15.2	13.7	1.48	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Julyan Stone	44	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.15	5	21	-16	13.6	13.9	-0.27	16.3	15.5	0.71

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Poythress	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-19	12	14.3	16.0	-1.66	15.2	13.7	1.48
Ike Anigbogu	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-20	14	13.0	16.0	-3.04	14.2	13.8	0.49
Edmond Sumner	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-20	14	13.0	16.0	-3.04	14.2	13.8	0.49
Joe Young	45	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-23	20	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.4	13.3	1.02
Al Jefferson	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-23	20	15.2	16.1	-0.95	14.3	13.6	0.72
Domantas Sabonis	34	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-25	24	15.6	16.1	-0.50	13.8	13.7	0.09
Cory Joseph	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-22	18	15.6	16.3	-0.70	14.1	13.5	0.60
Trevor Booker	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-21	16	16.7	15.4	1.34	13.3	14.1	-0.77
TJ Leaf	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-18	10	15.7	16.0	-0.33	13.9	13.7	0.27
Glenn Robinson III	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.25	-22	-4	-18	16.1	14.7	1.36	13.9	13.3	0.61
Darren Collison	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	-6	-14	16.7	15.3	1.36	13.3	14.2	-0.88
Myles Turner	41	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	-4	-18	16.6	15.4	1.24	13.4	14.1	-0.63
Lance Stephenson	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	-3	-20	15.8	16.1	-0.31	13.4	14.7	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, NOH 75	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAL 111, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CLE 101, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%