inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 117 Excitement3.7 [1070] MVPTroy Murphy (IND): +12.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 99 Comeback1.1 [607] LVPNenad Krstic (OKC): -18.1%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.150.020.0411100%0.204-0.0800%0.00
Roy Hibbert0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.00-0.041255%0.122-0.03771%-0.01
Danny Granger0.060,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.00-0.031856%0.124-0.06786%0.02
Jarrett Jack0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.011256%0.082-0.041100%0.01
Stephen Graham0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.03644%0.0300.00475%0.01
T.J. Ford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.02960%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Travis Diener0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Rush-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.010.071159%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01420%-0.0400.002100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.000.001461%0.113-0.051392%0.04
DJ White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.06887%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02771%0.033-0.0100%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.041162%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.030.01-0.001242%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.02525%-0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Kyle Weaver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.031029%-0.052-0.0110%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.01946%-0.022-0.06650%-0.02
Nenad Krstic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.17-0.03-0.02138%-0.1800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.429.214.827.11.726.0127.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +50.4%
IND +4.4%
OKC -4.4%
OKC -3.2%
IND +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDOKCNBAINDOKCNBA
this game12.913.715.5108.391.7106.4
season14.114.9106.5100.5
opponent15.115.3106.6107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND12.814.511.912.812.9
OKC13.913.713.014.413.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarrett Jack70690.450.050.40-0.1922-42612.913.1-0.2113.214.7-1.52
Roy Hibbert52520.450.050.390.07135812.913.0-0.1514.313.21.05
Brandon Rush74740.430.070.360.05135813.412.01.4213.514.1-0.62
Troy Murphy67660.390.110.28-0.051531213.012.90.1514.212.91.30
Danny Granger75750.370.130.23-0.071531212.813.3-0.4714.312.41.87
T.J. Ford55560.230.27-0.04-0.12126612.713.2-0.4113.314.2-0.91
Stephen Graham46460.070.43-0.360.07018-1812.613.2-0.5513.813.70.14
Jeff Foster41430.040.46-0.41-0.10513-813.412.70.6813.014.2-1.28
Rasho Nesterovic11130.040.46-0.420.01117-1613.812.80.9715.213.51.71
Josh McRoberts35330.030.47-0.440.06-119-2012.313.3-1.0213.213.9-0.69
Travis Diener1413-0.000.50-0.510.14-523-2813.412.90.4713.513.7-0.21

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose1718-0.00-0.500.50-0.269-273613.613.7-0.0914.312.71.60
DJ White4140-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-192014.413.31.0812.912.90.01
Shaun Livingston6161-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-161413.514.1-0.6013.112.80.28
Nick Collison6969-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-13813.014.9-1.8813.112.60.56
Kyle Weaver6160-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-10213.913.50.4112.813.1-0.21
Nenad Krstic3938-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-8-214.913.01.8812.513.2-0.65
Thabo Sefolosha4748-0.36-0.14-0.230.11-16-2-1413.314.0-0.7112.013.7-1.70
Kevin Durant7575-0.40-0.10-0.300.16-191-2013.015.4-2.4512.913.1-0.21
Russell Westbrook5354-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-15-3-1214.113.40.6913.412.50.81
Jeff Green7777-0.46-0.04-0.430.27-257-3214.212.61.6013.012.80.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 99, GSW 810.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
LAL 111, DAL 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
MIN 106, CHI 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%