NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	3.4 [1094]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +4.9%
Golden State Warriors	81		Comeback	1.2 [993]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -22.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	17	52%	0.05	5	-0.09	8	75%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Tim Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	13	38%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	-0.00	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.02	15	22%	-0.14	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.6	26.5	15.5	29.5	2.4	29.2	127.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.9%

MIN +2.7%

MIN +7.1%

MIN +5.8%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.2	104.2	84.4	101.7
season	15.1	14.7		103.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.7		105.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.1	15.8	15.7	14.2	14.7
GSW	15.7	17.0	13.7	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	68	66	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.33	29	-11	40	14.4	15.4	-1.05	16.2	14.0	2.18
Sam Mitchell	59	61	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.20	24	-6	30	13.8	16.0	-2.12	15.5	15.5	-0.07
Malik Sealy	74	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.32	28	-10	38	14.6	14.9	-0.26	15.1	16.7	-1.52
Kevin Garnett	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	-1	20	14.2	16.1	-1.91	16.4	12.4	4.07
Rasho Nesterovic	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	3	12	14.8	14.5	0.29	15.9	15.1	0.79
Dean Garrett	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	21	-24	13.8	14.8	-0.94	10.3	16.1	-5.80
Joe Smith	38	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.14	6	12	-6	14.7	14.6	0.10	16.3	14.9	1.41
Anthony Peeler	45	46	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	19	-20	15.6	13.8	1.76	15.9	15.1	0.83
Wally Szczerbiak	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	20	-22	17.1	14.2	2.95	17.6	15.1	2.49
William Avery	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	25	-32	14.9	14.6	0.26	10.9	16.0	-5.13
Tom Hammonds	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	25	-32	14.9	14.6	0.26	10.3	16.0	-5.70
Bobby Jackson	27	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.30	-11	29	-40	15.4	14.4	1.05	14.0	16.2	-2.18

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Young	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-25	32	10.3	16.0	-5.70	14.9	14.6	0.26
Tony Farmer	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-23	28	15.4	15.5	-0.16	14.2	14.8	-0.67
Mark Davis	34	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-16	14	14.4	16.1	-1.64	15.0	14.5	0.58
Adonal Foyle	25	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-16	14	14.8	15.7	-0.95	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Sam Jacobson	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-14	10	15.0	16.0	-1.02	13.9	15.3	-1.43
Vonteego Cummings	63	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-14	10	15.4	15.7	-0.35	15.0	13.9	1.17
Sam Mack	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-10	2	17.1	13.8	3.27	15.2	14.1	1.14
Jason Caffey	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	0	-18	16.6	13.5	3.14	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Donyell Marshall	41	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.28	-23	5	-28	15.5	15.5	0.02	13.8	15.3	-1.45
Mookie Blaylock	58	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-1	-16	15.4	15.7	-0.35	15.5	13.3	2.17
Antawn Jamison	68	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.20	-24	6	-30	15.4	15.7	-0.25	14.5	14.9	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
OKC 110, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%