NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	3.3 [1100]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +11.8%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	1.2 [1099]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -6.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	22	65%	0.14	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	11	66%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	63%	0.07	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	8	35%	-0.02	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	63%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	12	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	22	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	10	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	28.1	15.7	26.0	1.8	21.0	116.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.4%

LAL +2.1%

LAL +15.1%

DAL -9.9%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.0	15.6	120.7	102.2	102.5
season	14.8	15.8		110.0	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	16.2	18.2	19.3	17.1
DAL	15.0	13.2	15.3	12.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	58	59	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.26	31	-15	46	15.3	20.1	-4.80	15.7	11.2	4.46
Shaquille O'Neal	59	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.13	26	-10	36	15.6	19.8	-4.21	15.3	11.8	3.53
Derek Fisher	90	90	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.02	21	-5	26	17.1	19.5	-2.43	14.3	5.3	8.99
Rick Fox	61	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-5	26	15.7	19.8	-4.10	14.8	12.4	2.41
Eddie Jones	63	64	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.23	19	-3	22	16.9	17.5	-0.58	15.2	11.4	3.86
Kobe Bryant	55	56	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	23	-30	18.0	15.9	2.10	12.3	16.6	-4.35
Mario Bennett	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	21.1	16.5	4.56	10.1	14.6	-4.53
Corie Blount	15	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	18	-20	20.9	16.4	4.56	11.7	14.4	-2.72
Jon Barry	14	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.25	-12	28	-40	20.9	16.4	4.41	9.1	15.0	-5.84
Elden Campbell	33	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	26	-36	19.8	15.6	4.21	11.8	15.3	-3.53

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Riley	50	48	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.19	10	-26	36	13.1	15.2	-2.10	18.1	16.0	2.15
Bubba Wells	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-23	30	10.4	14.7	-4.33	20.4	16.5	3.90
Shawn Respert	23	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-9	2	14.0	14.0	0.01	16.1	17.4	-1.32
Khalid Reeves	66	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-9	2	14.3	13.3	1.04	16.1	19.8	-3.63
Erick Strickland	53	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	-14	12	12.9	15.5	-2.66	18.0	16.1	1.89
Shawn Bradley	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-1	-14	14.2	13.9	0.32	16.8	17.4	-0.54
Hubert Davis	73	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	5	-26	14.3	12.9	1.38	17.6	15.6	1.94
Michael Finley	86	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	2	-20	14.3	10.7	3.59	17.0	18.6	-1.57
A.C. Green	55	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.18	-27	11	-38	15.6	11.7	3.93	16.1	18.7	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 103, LAC 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
PHI 107, TOR 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%