NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	2.7 [748]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +4.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	74		Comeback	1.3 [711]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -10.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Mark West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	79%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Sheppard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	62%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Ed Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.05	15	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	31%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	25.4	15.5	27.4	2.4	25.6	123.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.2%

ATL +6.7%

LAC -3.1%

ATL +13.0%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	18.9	15.8	119.8	90.2	99.6
season	16.7	16.7		97.2	97.5
opponent	14.7	16.3		107.0	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	19.2	12.3	16.0	15.4
LAC	18.9	22.1	18.7	16.8	18.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	54	50	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	4	21	15.5	15.4	0.11	19.8	17.5	2.29
Dikembe Mutombo	61	58	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.38	29	0	29	15.5	15.3	0.17	18.6	19.6	-0.99
Tyrone Corbin	56	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.38	29	0	29	15.3	15.7	-0.35	18.5	19.7	-1.18
Mookie Blaylock	55	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.28	25	4	21	15.3	15.7	-0.37	20.2	16.7	3.46
Grant Long	55	51	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.31	25	4	21	15.4	15.5	-0.07	20.3	16.6	3.72
Anthony Johnson	39	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	23	-17	16.2	14.9	1.30	17.6	20.0	-2.33
Roshown McLeod	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.21	9	20	-11	16.8	14.6	2.23	17.7	19.7	-1.93
Mark West	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	29	-29	15.3	15.5	-0.17	19.6	18.6	0.99
Chris Crawford	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	15.5	15.4	0.14	16.7	19.6	-2.95
Jeff Sheppard	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	13.7	15.8	-2.08	17.1	19.4	-2.24
Ed Gray	17	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	34	-39	13.4	15.9	-2.53	18.8	19.0	-0.13

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.17	-5	-24	19	18.3	19.2	-0.96	17.5	14.5	3.03
Brian Skinner	31	31	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-26	23	16.9	20.2	-3.25	14.1	16.2	-2.10
Tyrone Nesby	51	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.19	-8	-21	13	17.5	21.3	-3.75	14.4	17.1	-2.67
Stojko Vrankovic	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-26	23	15.5	19.6	-4.03	10.7	16.4	-5.65
James Robinson	49	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.18	-10	-19	9	18.5	19.6	-1.09	16.1	14.5	1.62
Sherman Douglas	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-20	11	18.9	19.0	-0.09	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Darrick Martin	50	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-17	5	19.1	18.7	0.39	16.3	13.9	2.46
Eric Piatkowski	33	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-10	-9	19.6	18.5	1.09	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Lorenzen Wright	43	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	-10	-9	20.3	17.4	2.99	15.8	15.0	0.87
Lamond Murray	44	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.36	-29	0	-29	20.7	16.8	3.89	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Rodney Rogers	49	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.30	-28	-1	-27	19.9	17.4	2.51	16.3	14.1	2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
MIA 90, CLE 65	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAC 94, DAL 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%