inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement3.2 [710] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +3.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 65 Comeback1.2 [672] LVPAndrew DeClercq (CLE): -6.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.01-0.051150%0.042-0.0020%-0.03
Dan Majerle0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.090.000.064100%0.0300.001100%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.070.02-0.07948%0.043-0.02367%-0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.01-0.031068%0.074-0.061464%-0.02
P.J. Brown0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02867%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Mark Strickland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marty Conlon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00357%0.022-0.0410%-0.01
Keith Askins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Terry Porter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.000.05663%-0.032-0.04771%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01675%0.043-0.0300%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00853%0.0100.001100%0.01
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.01-0.04555%0.073-0.071100%0.00
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.01850%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.010.051070%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Mitchell Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.06828%-0.021-0.00250%0.00
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05517%-0.031-0.0120%-0.03
Ryan Stack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04517%-0.0510.002100%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.13-0.01-0.0720%-0.022-0.0540%0.00
Cedric Henderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00836%-0.0700.00667%-0.02
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01325%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.431.515.626.11.827.2131.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +25.3%
MIA +7.4%
MIA +11.9%
MIA +2.4%
MIA +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game16.416.915.8104.774.799.6
season16.616.3101.397.3
opponent16.216.799.296.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.316.417.814.516.4
CLE17.017.816.516.216.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning64650.470.030.44-0.212322117.114.42.7816.817.0-0.25
Dan Majerle57570.430.070.37-0.091871117.115.21.9016.317.9-1.58
Terry Porter44470.360.140.22-0.11169717.515.32.1417.116.60.49
Tim Hardaway53550.340.160.19-0.211961315.917.3-1.4217.216.20.97
Jamal Mashburn58570.300.200.10-0.20178915.418.6-3.2316.916.80.04
P.J. Brown50490.280.220.060.10619-1317.515.02.4617.216.40.74
Keith Askins38370.200.30-0.10-0.151213-116.116.7-0.5416.017.5-1.50
Clar. Weatherspoon26300.120.38-0.27-0.15916-716.816.20.6017.716.41.33
Marty Conlon330.000.50-0.500.06-227-2919.716.33.3521.016.74.29
Voshon Lenard14130.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2314.416.8-2.3916.816.9-0.02
Mark Strickland12120.000.50-0.50-0.09322-1913.716.9-3.2116.416.9-0.52
Duane Causwell11100.000.50-0.50-0.09322-1913.016.9-3.9315.617.0-1.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitchell Butler3030-0.03-0.470.430.17-7-181116.617.0-0.3514.917.2-2.30
Earl Boykins3231-0.05-0.450.410.19-8-17916.717.0-0.2815.017.2-2.24
Bob Sura3636-0.11-0.390.270.09-7-181116.816.9-0.1416.116.7-0.55
Corie Blount3531-0.13-0.370.250.05-6-191316.816.9-0.0616.716.30.39
Ryan Stack3738-0.16-0.340.170.10-9-16719.015.33.6717.315.71.63
Andrew DeClercq2829-0.19-0.310.110.07-9-16716.017.3-1.2715.916.7-0.81
Johnny Newman4846-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-12-117.116.60.4915.018.1-3.12
Derek Anderson2626-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-12-116.417.1-0.6817.416.01.37
Danny Ferry5352-0.38-0.12-0.260.21-20-5-1517.016.60.4016.716.00.71
Cedric Henderson5355-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-15-10-515.918.4-2.4517.514.62.84
Wesley Person5756-0.47-0.03-0.430.06-18-7-1117.016.60.3517.214.92.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 109, MIL 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
DET 98, CHA 810.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
PHX 119, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%