NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	3.3 [915]		MVP	Jonas Jerebko (DET): +13.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	81		Comeback	1.2 [479]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHA): -5.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	12	85%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	11	56%	0.08	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	8	40%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	11	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Macklin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	20	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	80%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	78%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	19	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	47%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	29.5	14.7	23.2	2.4	24.4	120.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.1%

DET +2.9%

DET +9.8%

DET +10.5%

CHA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.6	112.6	94.2	102.8
season	16.3	16.3		99.5	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.2	17.7	17.2	18.2	17.3
CHA	16.5	15.0	16.3	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	57	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-1	19	16.7	18.4	-1.70	16.2	15.6	0.57
Brandon Knight	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	3	11	17.4	17.2	0.16	16.6	14.3	2.26
Jonas Jerebko	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	1	15	16.8	19.2	-2.33	16.4	14.2	2.16
Rodney Stuckey	38	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	4	9	16.6	17.9	-1.32	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Ben Wallace	41	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	7	3	17.7	17.0	0.78	14.8	16.9	-2.09
Greg Monroe	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	6	5	17.6	16.6	1.00	16.2	15.5	0.72
Ben Gordon	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	9	-1	17.3	17.3	0.05	16.3	15.5	0.77
Damien Wilkins	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	18	-19	18.4	16.7	1.70	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Will Bynum	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	15	-13	19.1	16.9	2.19	15.3	16.1	-0.85
Vernon Macklin	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	16.8	17.4	-0.55	16.5	15.9	0.56
Austin Daye	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	16.8	17.4	-0.55	16.5	15.9	0.56

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	25	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-17	17	14.6	16.5	-1.87	17.7	17.1	0.55
Cory Higgins	16	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-13	9	15.8	16.0	-0.19	17.7	17.2	0.43
Matt Carroll	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-13	9	15.8	16.0	-0.15	14.7	17.7	-3.08
Gerald Henderson	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-14	11	16.1	15.8	0.24	17.6	16.9	0.72
Bismack Biyombo	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-13	9	14.8	16.4	-1.60	16.0	17.8	-1.80
DJ White	53	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-11	5	15.0	17.5	-2.52	17.3	17.4	-0.08
Boris Diaw	45	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-7	-3	17.0	14.8	2.22	18.1	16.6	1.48
Kemba Walker	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-6	-5	15.2	16.6	-1.42	17.5	17.2	0.34
Byron Mullens	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-3	-11	16.5	15.1	1.45	17.3	17.3	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	56	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-4	-9	16.8	14.3	2.51	17.6	16.9	0.71
Tyrus Thomas	55	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-1	-15	16.2	15.5	0.70	16.9	18.0	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SAS 104, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ORL 104, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%