NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	119		Excitement	3.2 [1163]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +14.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.0 [1161]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -7.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.14	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.03	9	91%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.22	0.01	0.13	19	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	8	89%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	19	56%	0.05	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	8	63%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.09	5	110%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	52%	0.07	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	6	29%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	17	55%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	16	49%	0.00	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	26.5	14.8	26.2	1.8	25.0	122.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.6%

PHX +3.1%

PHX +0.3%

PHX +8.1%

PHX +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	16.3	15.4	126.6	108.6	104.5
season	13.8	16.7		112.2	103.1
opponent	15.4	16.0		108.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	14.7	13.2	16.7	14.5
POR	18.5	18.0	15.0	13.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.24	27	-9	36	14.3	15.3	-1.01	16.8	14.8	1.97
Amar'e Stoudemire	57	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.23	23	-5	28	14.8	14.2	0.58	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Shawn Marion	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	3	12	14.4	15.1	-0.63	15.7	19.0	-3.34
Kurt Thomas	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	5	8	14.0	15.6	-1.60	16.3	16.1	0.25
Raja Bell	81	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	4	10	14.6	14.2	0.45	15.7	19.6	-3.89
Boris Diaw	63	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	16	-14	14.6	14.4	0.18	16.7	15.5	1.18
Marcus Banks	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	20	-22	14.8	14.4	0.38	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Jalen Rose	13	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	13	-8	14.0	14.6	-0.63	20.1	15.6	4.56
James Jones	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	18.6	14.3	4.29	20.2	16.1	4.16
Pat Burke	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	18.5	14.4	4.13	13.7	16.4	-2.69

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	39	40	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-25	32	14.9	17.2	-2.27	15.6	13.8	1.80
Stephen Graham	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-20	22	18.8	15.8	3.02	14.9	14.5	0.46
LaMarcus Aldridge	5	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-9	0	13.6	16.4	-2.82	19.0	14.3	4.71
Juan Dixon	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-10	2	15.8	16.9	-1.05	13.3	16.2	-2.89
Sergio Rodriguez	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-13	8	15.4	17.0	-1.58	15.5	13.7	1.83
Martell Webster	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-9	0	15.3	17.5	-2.27	15.6	13.2	2.39
Travis Outlaw	88	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-9	0	16.4	13.6	2.82	14.3	18.2	-3.87
Jarrett Jack	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	16.9	14.9	2.02	14.7	14.2	0.50
Ime Udoka	55	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.14	-23	5	-28	16.6	15.8	0.77	13.5	16.1	-2.58
Zach Randolph	53	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.17	-25	7	-32	17.5	14.6	2.97	14.0	15.3	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIA 117, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	96.7%
MIA 90, CLE 65	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%