NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	3.1 [1125]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +5.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	83		Comeback	1.1 [585]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -11.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0.03	0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	64%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	76%	0.04	4	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Mark Pope	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mark West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.00	0.09	10	67%	-0.04	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	15	48%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	10%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Nordgaard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	10	37%	-0.06	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	21	38%	-0.12	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.5	26.2	15.5	27.5	1.7	23.7	119.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.2%

IND +11.1%

IND +1.1%

MIL -4.7%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.6	117.2	86.5	102.5
season	16.0	16.0		105.3	101.1
opponent	15.1	16.1		102.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	15.4	14.1	15.1	14.7
MIL	16.6	17.3	15.2	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	13	0	15.7	13.4	2.37	16.1	15.4	0.68
Reggie Miller	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	8	10	14.1	15.4	-1.39	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Rik Smits	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	8	10	14.2	15.1	-0.95	16.5	15.2	1.26
Chris Mullin	44	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.15	15	11	4	13.9	15.4	-1.50	16.3	15.4	0.96
Mark Jackson	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	13	0	13.6	15.6	-1.94	16.1	15.6	0.53
Travis Best	49	52	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	13	0	15.6	13.6	1.94	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Jalen Rose	49	51	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	15	-4	15.4	13.9	1.50	15.4	16.3	-0.96
Mark Pope	22	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.41	18	8	10	13.0	15.2	-2.11	17.0	15.4	1.65
Fred Hoiberg	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	24	-22	15.6	14.0	1.56	16.4	15.4	0.94
Dale Davis	47	49	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.18	10	16	-6	13.5	15.8	-2.36	16.1	15.4	0.70
Mark West	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	15.9	14.6	1.30	10.7	16.3	-5.51
Austin Croshere	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	17.6	14.1	3.51	11.6	16.6	-5.01

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerald Honeycutt	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	10.7	16.3	-5.51	15.9	14.6	1.30
Jamie Feick	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	13.3	16.5	-3.16	16.0	14.3	1.67
Jeff Nordgaard	13	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.24	-9	-17	8	13.2	16.2	-2.97	14.5	14.7	-0.13
Andrew Lang	31	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-20	14	16.2	15.6	0.58	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Armen Gilliam	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.14	-9	-17	8	15.0	16.2	-1.23	14.9	14.6	0.31
Elliot Perry	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-12	-2	17.2	15.0	2.13	14.7	14.6	0.02
Ray Allen	59	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-18	10	16.0	15.4	0.60	15.0	14.1	0.88
Michael Curry	41	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-11	-4	15.9	15.7	0.22	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Terrell Brandon	62	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-14	2	15.0	17.2	-2.13	14.6	14.7	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-9	-8	16.2	15.0	1.23	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Glenn Robinson	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-8	-10	16.6	13.6	2.98	14.3	15.7	-1.44
Ervin Johnson	44	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	-8	-10	16.7	15.0	1.67	14.1	15.1	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, BOS 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHI 105, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 99, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%